Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Soccer Japan J2 J3 League
Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 00:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
110
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
39
Corner kicks
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Mineda Y. (Own goal),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Furukawa D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nakashima K. 🟨,
  • 59', Egawa G. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Furukawa D. ⚽,
  • 63', Fujioka K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
  • 63', Nakashima K. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
  • 65', Yoshio K. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
  • 65', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
  • 71', Egawa G. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
  • 71', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
  • 74', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
  • 74', Furukawa D. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
  • 79', Kawamura K. ↓, Take S. ↑,
  • 89', Mineda Y. ↓, Tadokoro R. ↑,
  • 90', Inaba S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Renofa Yamaguchi
25.4%		Draw
27.1%		Kagoshima United
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 29.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 30.5% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renofa Yamaguchi's form might have worsened.
  • Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renofa Yamaguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.62 ↑
    (2.68)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.15)    		 1.94 ↓
    (2.59)    		 8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
    • Renofa Yamaguchi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kagoshima United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi 1:0
    06.07.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United 1:0
    28.04.2024 Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi 0:1
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    11.04.2026 Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2026 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Renofa Yamaguchi 3:0 ✺
    29.03.2026 Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita 3:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu 0:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi 1:2
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    12.04.2026 Kagoshima United - Gainare Tottori 3:1
    05.04.2026 Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2026 Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United 0:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United 0:1
    15.03.2026 Kagoshima United - Reilac Shiga 1:0
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai14940131:1035
    2Shonan Bellmare14731326:1428
    3Blaublitz14901419:1328
    4Sagamihara14522526:2521
    5Montedio Yamagata14520716:1619
    6Yokohama FC14511728:2618
    7Kusatsu14412717:3216
    8Tochigi SC14403722:2815
    9Vanraure14403713:1915
    10Tochigi City14411816:3115


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kofu14910418:929
    2Iwaki14731322:1428
    3Omiya Ardija14711530:2124
    4Gifu14711520:1824
    5Fujieda MYFC14524319:2023
    6Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo14620619:1822
    7Yamaga14512625:1919
    8Iwata14342515:1719
    9Fukushima Utd14302920:3411
    10Nagano14213812:3011


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Toyama14930234:1633
    2Tokushima14901432:1728
    3Kochi United14722322:1927
    4Albirex Niigata14631418:1525
    5Ehime14612522:1622
    6Kanazawa14432514:1920
    7Nara Club14322718:2915
    8Osaka14224610:1614
    9Imabari14312810:1613
    10Kamatamare1440199:2613


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki141201129:937
    2Kagoshima Utd14641320:1227
    3Sagan Tosu14622418:1324
    4Renofa Yamaguchi14621520:1923
    5Kumamoto14701616:1622
    6Oita Trinita14511717:1618
    7Gainare Tottori13421615:1717
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu14402814:2514
    9Reilac Shiga1340188:2013
    10Ryukyu14133712:2212

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )

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