Tochigi vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 00:03 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
36
Total shots
87
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Renan , Fujimura K. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Igarashi T. , Ota R. (A),
  • 59', Tanaka T. , Nduka C. ,
  • 60', Yonezawa R. , Endo M. ,
  • 68', Rodrigo Angelotti , Take S. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Igarashi T. ,
  • 77', Igarashi T. , Tanahashi A. ,
  • 78', Kawamura K. , Kondo Y. ,
  • 82', Kawana R. , Fukumori K. ,
  • 88', Iwasaki H. , Takashima S. ,
  • 88', Ota R. , Yano K. ,
  • 88', Fujiwara K. , Yoshino H. ,

Chances of winning


Tochigi
32.1%
Draw
28.4%
Kagoshima United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 27.1% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.9% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Tochigi - Kagoshima United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.86)
    3.25
    (3.43)
    2.33
    (2.3)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kagoshima United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Kagoshima United were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Kagoshima United - Tochigi 1:0
    22.09.2024 Tochigi - Kagoshima United 2:1
    21.04.2024 Kagoshima United - Tochigi 2:1
    Latest results of Tochigi
    02.11.2025 Tochigi - Gifu 1:2
    24.10.2025 Osaka - Tochigi 0:1
    12.10.2025 Tochigi - Fukushima United 1:0
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Osaka (3)Kanazawa (6)1 : 0
    2Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)Kagoshima Utd (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Osaka (3)Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)0 : 4