Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Renan ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Aoki Y. ⚽, Kawamura K. (A),
- 24', Inaba S. ↓, Gaudencio ↑,
- 26', Gaudencio 🟨,
- 31', Ota R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Nakano K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 58', Yoshino H. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
- 61', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 61', Endo M. ↓, Take S. ↑,
- 61', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 67', Kawana R. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
- 67', Takahashi H. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
- 74', Igarashi T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
- 82', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
- 87', Chibu K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kagoshima United
46% | Draw
29% | Tochigi
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagoshima United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Kagoshima United - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.07) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
3.65 ↑
(3.38) |
10%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Tochigi?
Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Kagoshima United?
Tochigi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Tochigi were as follows:
22.09.2024
Tochigi
-
Kagoshima United
2:1
21.04.2024
Kagoshima United
-
Tochigi
2:1
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51:31 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Osaka | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 49:59 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | Gifu | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Sagamihara | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:51 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 28 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
