Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Renan ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Aoki Y. ⚽, Kawamura K. (A),
- 24', Inaba S. ↓, Gaudencio ↑,
- 26', Gaudencio 🟨,
- 31', Ota R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Nakano K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 58', Yoshino H. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
- 61', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 61', Endo M. ↓, Take S. ↑,
- 61', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 67', Kawana R. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
- 67', Takahashi H. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
- 74', Igarashi T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
- 82', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
- 87', Chibu K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kagoshima United
46% | Draw
29% | Tochigi
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagoshima United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Kagoshima United - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.07) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
3.65 ↑
(3.38) |
10%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Tochigi?
Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Kagoshima United?
Tochigi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Tochigi were as follows:
22.09.2024
Tochigi
-
Kagoshima United
2:1
21.04.2024
Kagoshima United
-
Tochigi
2:1
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 33:16 | 17 | 50 |
| 2 | Osaka | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Kagoshima Utd | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 46:25 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Yamaga | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Fukushima Utd | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | Sagamihara | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Kanazawa | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Kusatsu | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 17 | Nagano | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Gifu | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 25:32 | -7 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
