Result
1:2
22/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (295/402) | 65% (199/304) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (295/402) | 65% (199/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 41% (36/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (90/152) | 46% (36/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Sulieman A. ⚽, El Shazly H. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Abdelnaim I. ⚽, El Shazly H. (A),
- 17', 1 - 2, Ouka M. ⚽, Gamal A. (A),
- 38', Sheta A. 🟨,
- 44', Abdelnaim I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', El Sheikh A. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
- 51', Awad M. 🟨,
- 58', Ashraf M. ↓, Bayoumi M. ↑,
- 58', Gamal A. ↓, Gyabaah M. ↑,
- 62', Hany M. ↓, Galal Y. ↑,
- 63', Farouk M. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
- 66', Ouka M. 🟨,
- 83', Kouadja K. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 84', El Fayoumi E. ↓, Elkhashab S. ↑,
- 84', Abdelnaim I. ↓, Koshary M. ↑,
- 85', Shika M. E. S. 🟨,
- 87', Hamdi M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ouka M. ↓, Nail A. ↑,
- 90+3', Sulieman A. ↓, Maradona A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Haras El-Hodood
32.3% | Draw
33.6% | Kahrabaa Ismailia
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haras El-Hodood's form might have worsened.Kahrabaa Ismailia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kahrabaa Ismailia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haras El-Hodood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kahrabaa Ismailia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haras El-Hodood - Kahrabaa Ismailia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.42) |
2.75 ↓
(2.84) |
2.71 ↓
(3.2) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Haras El-Hodood - Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Kahrabaa Ismailia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Haras El-Hodood (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Haras El-Hodood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Haras El-Hodood has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kahrabaa Ismailia won against Haras El-Hodood?
Kahrabaa Ismailia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haras El-Hodood - Kahrabaa Ismailia were as follows:
04.01.2026
Kahrabaa Ismailia
-
Haras El-Hodood
3:3
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Latest results of Kahrabaa Ismailia
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 25 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Pharco | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 20 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 20 | Haras El Hodood | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 19 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
