Sebat Gençlik vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Cift A. (Pen),
  • 23', Ozbakir B. 🟥,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Cift A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 1 - 2, Keskin R. ,

Chances of winning


Sebat Gençlik
51.6%
Draw
25.3%
Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 25.8% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 26.4% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebat Gençlik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebat Gençlik's form might have worsened.
  • Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebat Gençlik than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebat Gençlik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebat Gençlik - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.51)
    3.64
    (3.5)
    3.99
    (6.31)
    8.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sebat Gençlik - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Kahramanmaraş (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kahramanmaraş (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Sebat Gençlik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sebat Gençlik is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sebat Gençlik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebat Gençlik - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Sebat Gençlik 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Corluspor (2)Bursa Yildirimspor (5)1 : 1, 3 : 2
    2Kucukcekmece (3)Etimesgut (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    3Erciyes 38 (2)Mazidagi (5)2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Silifke (3)Malatya (4)1 : 1, 1 : 3
    552 Orduspor (2)Fatsa Bld. (5)4 : 1, 3 : 1
    6Karadeniz Eregli (3)Yozgat (4)0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Eskisehirspor (2)Balikesirspor (5)3 : 0, 1 : 2
    8Karsiyaka (3)Ayvalikgucu (4)0 : 2, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Corluspor (2)Kucukcekmece (3)
    2Erciyes 38 (2)Malatya (4)
    352 Orduspor (2)Yozgat (4)
    4Eskisehirspor (2)Ayvalikgucu (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4