Kaichi Uchida vs Fajing Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun
Result
1:2
27/08/2024 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang (China), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Wang X. (Chn)

Match Stats

Aces
68
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
58%64%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)76% (41/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (12/36)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
35% (19/54)30% (15/50)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (12/31)67% (24/36)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)71% (5/7)
Max Points In Row
46
Service Points Won
55% (47/85)71% (59/83)
Return Points Won
29% (24/83)45% (38/85)
Total Points Won
42% (71/168)58% (97/168)
Max Games In Row
36
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
33% (9/27)67% (18/27)

Chances of winning


Kaichi Uchida
40.7%
Fajing Sun
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaichi Uchida's form might have worsened.
  • Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.87)

    1.57
    (1.82)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun?
  • Users Predictions: Fajing Sun will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uchida is ranked ATP: 380. Sun is ranked ATP: 391.
    • Uchida is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Sun is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Uchida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Sun will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    2Shin S.Isomura K.1 : 2
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Crawford O. (6)Isomura K.2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Uchiyama Y. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Crawford O. (6)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2