Kairat Almaty vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:7
30/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UEFA Futsal Champions League - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11, Sporting TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 5)
  • 1', Zicky Te (G),
  • 7', Paco T. (G),
  • 10', Santos D. (G), Merlim A. (A),
  • 11', Arrieta K. (G), Zanotto J. (A),
  • 12', Santos D. (G), Merlim A. (A),
  • 13', Valerio F. (G), Merlim A. (A),
  • 16', Tursagulov D. (G), Orazov B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', Valerio F. (G),
  • 25', Otanha L. 🟨,
  • 26', Wesley Franca (G), Paco T. (A),
  • 37', Zanotto J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kairat Almaty
19.9%
Draw
16.6%
Sporting Lisbon
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 18.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 20.9% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat Almaty's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat Almaty than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat Almaty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (3.15)
    5.5
    (5.02)
    1.44
    (1.73)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon 3:2
    Latest results of Kairat Almaty
    25.10.2025 Ayat - Kairat Almaty 4:4
    24.10.2025 Ayat - Kairat Almaty 3:2
    11.10.2025 Kairat Almaty - Aktobe 8:1
    10.10.2025 Kairat Almaty - Aktobe 8:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1HjorringEtoile Lavalloise4 : 7, 1 : 4
    2SemeyPiast Gliwice5 : 3, 3 : 3
    3HIT KievPalma Futsal2 : 4, 2 : 2
    4PrishtinaRiga FC1 : 8, 3 : 3
    5ArazBenfica2 : 4, 0 : 9
    6AEK AthensSporting3 : 8, 0 : 11
    7AnderlechtKairat Almaty3 : 5, 3 : 7
    8St AndrewsCartagena1 : 5, 1 : 9

    Quarter-finals
    1Etoile LavalloiseSemey5 : 4
    2Palma FutsalRiga FC7 : 4
    3BenficaSporting4 : 3
    4Kairat AlmatyCartagena1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place