Result
4:3
28/06/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Placard - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', Leo Gugiel (G),
- 6', Coelho A. (G),
- 14', Paco T. (G), Guilherme A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 26', Santos D. (G),
- 27', Ferreira S. (G),
- 28', Paco T. (G),
- 28', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 28', Merlim A. 🟨,
- 30', Kutchy E. (Pen),
- 32', Paco T. 🟨,
- 36', 🟨,
- 40', Paco T. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Benfica
38.2% | Draw
18.8% | Sporting Lisbon
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(3.23) |
4.87 ↓
(5.6) |
2.13 ↑
(1.65) |
9.3%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: (0)
What is the prediction for Benfica - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:3.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sporting might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:79. (average 3.3:4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 3:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 12 of their last 33 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 17 of their last 33 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
25.06.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
3:2
21.06.2026
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
6:5
16.06.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
8:2
12.06.2026
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:1
26.04.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
5:6
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Benfica (1) | Electrico (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Leoes (4) | Rio Ave (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sporting (2) | Torreense (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Braga/AAUM (3) | Ferreira do Zezere (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Benfica (1) | Leoes (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sporting (2) | Braga/AAUM (3) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Benfica (1) | Sporting (2) | 3 : 2 |
