Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽, Gripshi N. (A),
- 37', Shomko D. 🟨,
- 40', Arad O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tapalov E. ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Satpaev D. ⚽,
- 61', Shomko D. ↓, Vorogovskiy Y. ↑,
- 64', Gromyko V. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
- 80', Camara O. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 83', Satpaev D. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 90', Gripshi N. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
- 90', Kalaica B. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kairat
41.4% | Draw
28.8% | Astana
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Kairat - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.59) |
3.2 ↑
(2.78) |
3.1 ↑
(2.88) |
8.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 3.
- Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Astana is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kairat has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Astana?
Kairat has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Kairat?
Astana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Astana were as follows:
02.03.2025
Astana
-
Kairat
1:1
01.09.2024
Kairat
-
Astana
0:1
29.06.2024
Astana
-
Kairat
1:3
27.08.2023
Kairat
-
Astana
1:0
16.04.2023
Astana
-
Kairat
0:3
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
