Kairat vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
21/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 3, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.85
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (471/558)65% (164/253)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.30
Total shots
229
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
131
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (471/558)65% (164/253)
Long passes
48% (19/40)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
77% (202/262)42% (13/31)
Crosses
17% (4/23)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.26
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
119
Tackles
65% (11/17)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.300.70
Goals prevented
2.300.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Correia J. 🟥,
  • 21', Satpaev D. 🟨,
  • 40', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tapalov E. , Tuyakbaev A. ,
  • 61', Glazer D. , Zaria G. ,
  • 66', Quina D. , Bassouamina M. ,
  • 66', Pileas K. , Goldar D. ,
  • 79', Orsic M. , Sema K. ,
  • 79', Pepe , Dimata L. ,
  • 80', Sunjic I. 🟨,
  • 82', Tuyakbaev A. 🟨,
  • 89', Gromyko V. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 90', Bruno , Langa B. ,
  • 90+2', Arad O. , Ricardinho ,

Chances of winning


Kairat
31.6%
Draw
29.5%
Paphos
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.8% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.9% 34.7%

Kairat - Paphos Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.05
(2.72)
3.27
(3.32)
2.49
(2.66)
3.5%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kairat - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Paphos will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 40.8%72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Kairat (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paphos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Paphos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Edmilson Santos (Inactive) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Zarutskiy A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Kairat
    17.10.2025 Kyzylzhar - Kairat 0:1
    05.10.2025 Kairat - Zhetysu 5:0
    30.09.2025 Kairat - Real Madrid 0:5
    22.09.2025 Kairat - Zhenis 3:1
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Kairat 4:1
    Latest results of Paphos
    17.10.2025 Paphos - Ethnikos Achna 4:0
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4
    30.09.2025 Paphos - Bayern Munich 1:5
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal550014:11315
    2PSG540119:81112
    3Bayern Munich540115:6912
    4Inter540112:3912
    5Real Madrid540112:5712
    6Dortmund531117:11610
    7Chelsea531112:6610
    8Sporting CP531111:5610
    9Manchester City531110:5510
    10Atalanta53116:5110
    11Newcastle530211:479
    12Atl. Madrid530212:1029
    13Liverpool530210:829
    14Galatasaray53028:719
    15PSV522113:858
    16Tottenham522110:738
    17Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
    18Barcelona521212:1027
    19Qarabag52128:9-17
    20Napoli52126:9-37
    21Marseille52038:626
    22Juventus513110:1006
    23Monaco51316:8-26
    24Pafos51314:7-36
    25Royale Union SG52035:12-76
    26Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
    27Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
    28Eintracht Frankfurt51137:14-74
    29FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
    30Benfica51044:8-43
    31Slavia Prague50322:8-63
    32Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
    33Olympiacos Piraeus50235:13-82
    34Villarreal50142:10-81
    35Kairat Almaty50144:14-101
    36Ajax50051:16-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)