Kairat vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:0
21/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 3, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.85
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (471/558)65% (164/253)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.30
Total shots
229
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
131
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (471/558)65% (164/253)
Long passes
48% (19/40)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
77% (202/262)42% (13/31)
Crosses
17% (4/23)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.26
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
119
Tackles
65% (11/17)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.300.70
Goals prevented
2.300.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Correia J. 🟥,
  • 21', Satpaev D. 🟨,
  • 40', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tapalov E. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
  • 61', Glazer D. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
  • 66', Quina D. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
  • 66', Pileas K. ↓, Goldar D. ↑,
  • 79', Orsic M. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
  • 79', Pepe ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
  • 80', Sunjic I. 🟨,
  • 82', Tuyakbaev A. 🟨,
  • 89', Gromyko V. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
  • 90', Bruno ↓, Langa B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Arad O. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,

Chances of winning


Kairat
31.6%		Draw
29.5%		Paphos
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.8% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.9% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
    •

    Kairat - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.72)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.32)    		 2.49 ↓
    (2.66)    		 3.5%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kairat - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Paphos will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 40.8% – 72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paphos (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Paphos (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Kairat (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Paphos (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paphos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Paphos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Edmilson Santos (Inactive) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Zarutskiy A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Kairat
    17.10.2025 Kyzylzhar - Kairat 0:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Kairat - Zhetysu 5:0
    30.09.2025 Kairat - Real Madrid 0:5 ✺
    22.09.2025 Kairat - Zhenis 3:1
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Kairat 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paphos
    17.10.2025 Paphos - Ethnikos Achna 4:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4 ✺
    30.09.2025 Paphos - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    27.09.2025 Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Paphos - Enosis Neon Paralimni 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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