Tobol Kostanay vs Kairat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Tobol Kostanay - Kairat
Result
1:3
26/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
919
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
15
Corner Kicks
67
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2226
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1922
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Jorginho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Ededem E. 🟨,
  • 64', Cavnic N. 🟨,
  • 65', Tagybergen A. , Victor Braga ,
  • 67', Shirobokov A. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Gromyko V. ,
  • 69', Glazer D. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, El Messaoudi A. (Pen),
  • 78', Ededem E. 🟨,
  • 79', Satpaev D. , Ricardinho ,
  • 79', Jorginho , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 80', Zhumashev Z. , Henen D. ,
  • 83', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
  • 83', Arad O. , Sadybekov A. ,
  • 83', Gromyko V. , Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 85', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
  • 86', Zhagorov N. , Zuev A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Ricardinho ,
  • 90+3', Zaria G. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tobol Kostanay
37.3%
Draw
28.5%
Kairat
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.6% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 29.6% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Tobol Kostanay - Kairat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.5)
    3.21
    (3.13)
    2.68
    (2.79)
    9.2%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Kairat?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 1.
    • Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Kairat were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    25.08.2024 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:2
    15.06.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:0
    13.08.2023 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    06.05.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 2:3
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    20.07.2025 Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay 0:0
    13.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes 2:1
    29.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:2
    25.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:1
    Latest results of Kairat
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 Kairat - Kaisar 1:1
    04.07.2025 Kairat - Turan Turkistan 4:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Zhenis1859420:16424
    8Ordabasy1665515:13223
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan17321213:33-2011
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League