Result
1:3
26/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Jorginho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Ededem E. 🟨,
- 64', Cavnic N. 🟨,
- 65', Tagybergen A. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 67', Shirobokov A. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 2, Gromyko V. ⚽,
- 69', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, El Messaoudi A. (Pen),
- 78', Ededem E. 🟨,
- 79', Satpaev D. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 79', Jorginho ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
- 80', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Henen D. ↑,
- 83', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
- 83', Arad O. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
- 83', Gromyko V. ↓, Mrynskiy A. ↑,
- 85', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
- 86', Zhagorov N. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Ricardinho ⚽,
- 90+3', Zaria G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
37.3% | Draw
28.5% | Kairat
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Tobol Kostanay - Kairat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.5) |
3.21 ↑
(3.13) |
2.68 ↓
(2.79) |
9.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Kairat?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 1.
- Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Kairat?
Tobol Kostanay has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Tobol Kostanay?
Kairat has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Kairat were as follows:
27.04.2025
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
25.08.2024
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
15.06.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kairat
1:0
13.08.2023
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
06.05.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kairat
2:3
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:23 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22:54 | -32 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
