Kairat vs Tobol Kostanay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Final

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
43
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
98
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
22
Corner kicks
43
Offsides
11
Fouls
1321

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Guerra L. ,
  • 13', Tapalov E. 🟨,
  • 16', Martynovich A. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 24', Cavnic N. 🟨,
  • 25', Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 26', 2 - 1, Oksanen J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 41', Vukcevic M. , Asrankulov R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Zuev A. , Zhumashev Z. ,
  • 61', Guerra L. , Marat D. ,
  • 62', Marat D. 🟨,
  • 68', Tagybergen A. 🟨,
  • 71', Edmilson Santos , Satpaev D. ,
  • 72', Jukkola O. , Ricardinho ,
  • 73', Edmilson Santos 🟨,
  • 78', Zhagorov N. , Zhumat D. ,
  • 78', Hebaj R. , Milovanovic U. ,
  • 82', Zhumat D. 🟨,
  • 83', Tapalov E. , Baybek O. ,
  • 83', Jorginho , Birkurmanov M. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Tagybergen A. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Ricardinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Zhumashev Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Oksanen J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Asrankulov R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kasabulat D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Tagybergen A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Baybek O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Ndiaye P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Satpaev D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Zhumat D. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kairat
45.6%
Draw
30.7%
Tobol Kostanay
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.3% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.
  • Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Kairat - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.69)
    2.99
    (3.46)
    3.87
    (4.52)
    9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kairat - Tobol Kostanay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Tobol (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kairat will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 50%). Tobol (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Astana Arena.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 3.
    • Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kairat could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:33. (average 2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    27.04.2025 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    25.08.2024 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:2
    15.06.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:0
    13.08.2023 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    Latest results of Kairat
    14.02.2026 Rubin Kazan - Kairat Canceled
    13.02.2026 Orenburg - Kairat 0:1
    28.01.2026 Arsenal - Kairat 3:2
    20.01.2026 Kairat - Club Brugge 1:4
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Kairat AlmatyTobol2 : 3