Result
2:3 penalties
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Guerra L. ⚽,
- 13', Tapalov E. 🟨,
- 16', Martynovich A. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 1, Mrynskiy A. ⚽,
- 24', Cavnic N. 🟨,
- 25', Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 2 - 1, Oksanen J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', Vukcevic M. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Zuev A. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
- 61', Guerra L. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
- 62', Marat D. 🟨,
- 68', Tagybergen A. 🟨,
- 71', Edmilson Santos ↓, Satpaev D. ↑,
- 72', Jukkola O. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 73', Edmilson Santos 🟨,
- 78', Zhagorov N. ↓, Zhumat D. ↑,
- 78', Hebaj R. ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
- 82', Zhumat D. 🟨,
- 83', Tapalov E. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
- 83', Jorginho ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Tagybergen A. ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Ricardinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Zhumashev Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Oksanen J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Asrankulov R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kasabulat D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Tagybergen A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Baybek O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Ndiaye P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Satpaev D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Zhumat D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kairat 45.6% | Draw 30.7% | Tobol Kostanay 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Kairat - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↑ (1.69) |
2.99 ↓ (3.46) |
3.87 ↓ (4.52) |
9% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kairat - Tobol Kostanay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Tobol (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kairat will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 50%). Tobol (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Astana Arena.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 3.
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kairat could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:33. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Tobol Kostanay?
Kairat has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Kairat?
Tobol Kostanay has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
26.07.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kairat
1:3
27.04.2025
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
25.08.2024
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:2
15.06.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Kairat
1:0
13.08.2023
Kairat
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay