Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (271/393) | 75% (339/450) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (271/393) | 75% (339/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/77) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (47/97) | 63% (102/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+7', 0 - 1, Brackelmann C. ⚽,
- 45+8', Krahl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Chernev A. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
- 46', Gibs O. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
- 56', Scheller T. 🟨,
- 65', Batzner N. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 65', Muller R. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
- 76', Sahin S. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
- 76', Kim Ji-Soo ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
- 76', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 77', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 84', Bilbija F. 🟨,
- 90', Bassette N. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Baur M. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
- 90+9', 1 - 2, Redondo K. ⚽,
- 90+11', Curda L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kaiserslautern
28.9% | Draw
25.8% | Paderborn
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Kaiserslautern - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.8) |
3.65 ↑
(3.63) |
2.09 ↓
(2.26) |
5.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kaiserslautern - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1.5 - Kaiserslautern (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 1 - 50%). Paderborn (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 2.
- Recent performances by Kaiserslautern have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paderborn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Berisha M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gyamfi M.
(Muscle Injury)
Prtajin I.
(Injury)
Ritter M.
(Yellow Cards)
Spahic A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Inactive)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kaiserslautern won against Paderborn?
Kaiserslautern has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Kaiserslautern?
Paderborn has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kaiserslautern - Paderborn were as follows:
27.09.2025
Paderborn
-
Kaiserslautern
2:0
15.03.2025
Paderborn
-
Kaiserslautern
5:3
19.10.2024
Kaiserslautern
-
Paderborn
3:0
10.02.2024
Kaiserslautern
-
Paderborn
1:2
25.08.2023
Paderborn
-
Kaiserslautern
1:2
Latest results of Kaiserslautern
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 51 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 48:29 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 44:28 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Hannover | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 45:34 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45:38 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 40:50 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 | Bochum | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Nurnberg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 24:35 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 39:56 | -17 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 28 |
| 16 | Preussen Munster | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
