Paderborn vs Kaiserslautern – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Kaiserslautern
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.960.71
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
88% (549/624)68% (191/282)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.960.71
xG on target (xGOT)
3.510.55
Total shots
259
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
347
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
99
Passes
88% (549/624)68% (191/282)
Long passes
47% (21/45)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
73% (108/147)42% (25/60)
Crosses
31% (9/29)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.31
Throw-ins
1628
Fouls
99
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
1537
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
0.553.51
Goals prevented
0.551.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Hansen M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gyamfi M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Bilbija F. (Pen),
  • 45+6', Baur M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Prtajin I. , Abiama D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. , Brackelmann C. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 0, Curda L. , Muller R. (A),
  • 62', Skytta N. , Tachie R. ,
  • 62', Alidou F. , Elvedi J. ,
  • 63', Sahin S. , Robinson L. ,
  • 68', Baur M. , Michel S. ,
  • 68', Muller R. , Batzner N. ,
  • 78', Klaas S. , Engelns L. ,
  • 78', Kunze F. , Afeez A. ,
  • 90+3', Hansen M. , Sticker J. ,
  • 90+3', Bilbija F. , Copado L. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
46.2%
Draw
25.6%
Kaiserslautern
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 25.3% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.3% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Paderborn - Kaiserslautern Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.98)
    3.69
    (3.65)
    3.35
    (3.3)
    5.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Paderborn - Kaiserslautern?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Paderborn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kaiserslautern has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kaiserslautern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paderborn will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury) Obermair R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Asta S. (Knee Injury) Redondo K. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Kaiserslautern were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 5:3
    19.10.2024 Kaiserslautern - Paderborn 3:0
    10.02.2024 Kaiserslautern - Paderborn 1:2
    25.08.2023 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 1:2
    17.02.2023 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 1:0
    Latest results of Paderborn
    20.09.2025 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 0:2
    12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    17.08.2025 Viktoria Köln - Paderborn 1:3
    Latest results of Kaiserslautern
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt751113:5816
    2Elversberg751112:6616
    3Schalke75028:4415
    4Paderborn74219:4514
    5Karlsruher SC74218:6214
    6Hannover641110:7313
    7Kaiserslautern740312:7512
    8Arminia Bielefeld631212:7510
    9Dusseldorf73136:12-610
    10Holstein Kiel73048:719
    11Greuther Furth730413:16-39
    12Preussen Munster62139:12-37
    13Braunschweig62137:11-47
    14Hertha Berlin61234:6-25
    15SG Dynamo Dresden71249:13-45
    16Nurnberg61144:7-34
    17Bochum71066:12-63
    18Magdeburg71067:15-83

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