Ilves vs KalPa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere).

Liiga
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.92	2.56
Shots on Goal
25	20
Shots off target
11	7
Shooting PCT
20% (5/25)	10% (2/20)
Blocked Shots
6	7
Goalkeeper Saves
18	20
Saves PCT
90% (18/20)	80% (20/25)
Penalties
4	5
PIM
8	10
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)	0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)	80% (4/5)
Faceoffs Won
23	24
Faceoffs %
48.94	51.06
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:58, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
11:10, 0 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Maenpaa J. (A),
17:43, 1 - 1, Henman L. (G), Pelli A. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
07:38, Nattinen J. (2 min),
10:55, Salmela S. (2 min),
11:51, Johansson S. (2 min),
12:07, 2 - 1, Pelli A. (G), Engberg T. (A), Borg E. (A2)
12:22, 3 - 1, Bjorkqvist K. (G), Utunen T. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
16:42, Rasanen I. (2 min),
18:16, Korhonen B. (2 min),
19:35, 4 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Mantykivi M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
19:48, Parikka J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:53, Klemetti A. (2 min),
08:14, Torok M. (2 min),
18:24, 5 - 1, Engberg T. (G), Bjorkqvist K. (A),
19:10, 5 - 2, Korhonen B. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Rasanen I. (A2)

Chances of winning

Ilves
38.7%

Draw
24.3%

KalPa
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.9%

35.5%

Ilves - KalPa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)	6.4% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.
In recent matches, Ilves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
KalPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, KalPa has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:57. (average 2.9:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KalPa?

Ilves has won 11 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ilves?

KalPa has won 16 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - KalPa were as follows:

27.09.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4

15.08.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4

21.04.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4

18.04.2025 Ilves - KalPa 3:1

16.04.2025 KalPa - Ilves 1:0

Latest results of Ilves

31.10.2025 SaiPa - Ilves 5:2 ✺

29.10.2025 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 5:7 ✺

25.10.2025 Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:2 ✺

24.10.2025 Tappara - Ilves 1:3 ✺

18.10.2025 TPS - Ilves 4:3 ✺

Latest results of KalPa

29.10.2025 KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 5:3 ✺

25.10.2025 KalPa - Kärpät 3:1 ✺

24.10.2025 KalPa - Kärpät 6:4 ✺

22.10.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 KalPa - KooKoo 4:2 ✺

Finnish SM-liiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Assat	19	12	1	0	6	60:40	38
2	JYP	18	11	2	1	4	72:50	38
3	Tappara	19	11	0	2	6	64:45	35
4	Jukurit	21	10	2	0	9	52:54	34
5	SaiPa	20	9	2	3	6	63:52	34
6	Kiekko-Espoo	20	8	2	4	6	58:57	32
7	Lukko	19	9	2	0	8	55:48	31
8	KalPa	18	8	3	1	6	56:54	31
9	KooKoo	19	8	3	0	8	62:61	30
10	TPS Turku	19	5	5	3	6	43:47	28
11	Hameenlinna	20	6	3	3	8	52:59	27
12	Ilves	20	6	2	2	10	56:69	24
13	Karpat	20	6	1	1	12	66:70	21
14	Pelicans	18	4	2	5	7	35:48	21
15	Vaasan Sport	18	5	0	5	8	45:54	20
16	IFK Helsinki	20	5	1	1	13	35:66	18

      Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
      Liiga (Play Out: )