Result
5:4 OT
21/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 3.09 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 12.5% (4/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (28/32) | 80% (20/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 43 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.1 | 58.9 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:47, 0 - 1, Utunen T. (G), Bau S. (A),
- 03:03, 1 - 1, Karjalainen J. (G), Curry P. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
- 15:30, 2 - 1, Curry P. (G), Mattila J. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:28, 3 - 1, Kantner M. (G), Westerlund F. (A),
- 03:58, 3 - 2, Nattinen J. (G), Pelli A. (A),
- 05:38, Kiiskinen T. (2 min),
- 06:53, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 08:34, 4 - 2, Curry P. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Korhonen B. (A2)
- 18:37, Suomi E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 10:17, 4 - 3, Johansson S. (G),
- 12:07, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 12:19, 4 - 4, Klingberg C. (G), Meskanen V. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 13:30, Latvala O. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 09:57, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 12', 5 - 4, Maenpaa J. (G), Lappalainen L. (A),
Chances of winning
KalPa
38.9% | Draw
26.1% | Ilves
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
KalPa - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.38) |
3.62 ↑
(3.61) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for KalPa - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Ilves will win (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- 6th leg. Kalpa Kuopio leads series 3-2.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches KalPa won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Our prediction for today's KalPa to win the game is with odds 2.5.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches KalPa won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 48:49 (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams KalPa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:17 (average 2.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ilves?
KalPa has won 13 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KalPa?
Ilves has won 11 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Ilves were as follows:
18.04.2025
Ilves
-
KalPa
3:1
16.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ilves
1:0
14.04.2025
Ilves
-
KalPa
3:0
12.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ilves
3:2
11.04.2025
Ilves
-
KalPa
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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