Ural vs KAMAZ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Ural - KAMAZ
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 27
  • Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
69
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
68
Free Kicks
1522
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Pochivalin V. 🟨,
  • 31', Gyurdzhan A. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Italo ,
  • 36', Gyurdzhan A. , Marugin D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Italo ,
  • 61', Markov E. , Egorychev A. ,
  • 67', Motorin D. N. , Abdullaev S. ,
  • 67', Karaev D. , Golybin R. ,
  • 75', Beveev M. , Mosin E. K. ,
  • 75', Ayupov T. , Bondarev V. ,
  • 80', Filipenko E. 🟨,
  • 80', Begic S. 🟨,
  • 80', Khubaev D. 🟨,
  • 80', Abdullaev S. 🟨,
  • 85', Ishkov I. , Voronov M. ,
  • 87', Pochivalin V. , Starodub D. ,
  • 87', Kirillov Y. , Zashchepkin R. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Starodub D. ,

Chances of winning


Ural
60.3%
Draw
25.5%
KAMAZ
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 23% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 22.4% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Ural - KAMAZ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.46)
    3.68
    (4.1)
    6.57
    (7.55)
    6.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently KAMAZ have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ural is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ural won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - KAMAZ were as follows:
    21.09.2024 KAMAZ - Ural 0:2
    Latest results of Ural
    30.03.2025 Sokol Saratov - Ural 0:0
    24.03.2025 Ural - Arsenal Tula 0:0
    12.03.2025 Ural - Rubin Kazan 1:0
    09.03.2025 Sochi - Ural 1:0
    Latest results of KAMAZ
    29.03.2025 KAMAZ - Ufa 1:0
    22.03.2025 KAMAZ - Tyumen 2:3
    15.03.2025 Shinnik - KAMAZ 1:0
    01.03.2025 KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ural33006:339
    2Kamaz32105:327
    3Fakel Voronezh22002:026
    4Chelyabinsk32015:416
    5FK Chayka31204:135
    6SKA Khabarovsk21103:214
    7Ufa31112:204
    8S. Kostroma21013:213
    9R. Volgograd21012:203
    10Arsenal Tula20202:202
    11Saratov20200:002
    12Neftekhimik20200:002
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk20113:4-11
    14Rodina Moscow30123:6-31
    15Torpedo Moscow20112:3-11
    16Ulyanovsk30123:5-21
    17Shinnik Yaroslavl30121:3-21
    18Yenisey20021:5-40

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