Chonburi vs Kanchanaburi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.29
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
75% (208/276)82% (281/341)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.660.72
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
75% (208/276)82% (281/341)
Long passes
56% (41/73)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
62% (52/84)66% (67/101)
Crosses
50% (11/22)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.82
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1011
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.720.66
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Wattayuchutikul S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wattayuchutikul S. , Notchaiya P. ,
  • 46', Aguero S. , Ratniyorm S. ,
  • 46', Oyarzun A. , Samphaodi C. ,
  • 57', Seaisakul P. , Promsrikaew C. ,
  • 57', Eisa A. , Houla G. ,
  • 70', Queven , Ablorh L. ,
  • 70', Channgom S. , Sujarit T. ,
  • 74', Tanthatemee P. , Bardanca ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Bolingi J. , Houla G. (A),
  • 76', 1 - 1, Ewerton , Townsend A. (A),
  • 78', Bolingi J. 🟨,
  • 82', Tabinas J. 🟨,
  • 86', Tapsuvanavon C. , Kraisorn A. ,
  • 87', Ratniyorm S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Samphaodi C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Promsrikaew C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Ablorh L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chonburi
49.1%
Draw
25.3%
Kanchanaburi
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 25.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 21.2% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chonburi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Chonburi - Kanchanaburi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.82)
    3.62
    (3.56)
    3.58
    (3.76)
    9.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chonburi - Kanchanaburi?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chonburi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kanchanaburi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Kanchanaburi (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kanchanaburi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
    • In recent matches, Chonburi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chonburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chonburi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chonburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chonburi - Kanchanaburi were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Chonburi - Kanchanaburi 2:1
    17.08.2024 Kanchanaburi - Chonburi 0:1
    Latest results of Chonburi
    29.11.2025 Rayong FC - Chonburi 1:0
    23.11.2025 Sukhothai - Chonburi 2:1
    09.11.2025 Chonburi - Buriram United 4:2
    02.11.2025 Chonburi - Pathum United 1:2
    Latest results of Kanchanaburi
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram24202267:214662
    2Port MTI FC25145648:212747
    3Ratchaburi23134638:231543
    4Bangkok Utd23119334:221242
    5Pathum United25118638:281041
    6Prachuap25812532:30236
    7Rayong FC2488836:33332
    8Ayutthaya Utd2588931:35-432
    9Chonburi25871030:35-531
    10Chiangrai Utd24611730:34-429
    11Uthai Thani24681034:38-426
    12Sukhothai25591118:36-1824
    13Lamphun Warrior25314830:43-1323
    14Kanchanaburi264101226:46-2022
    15Muang Thong Utd25461522:46-2418
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC24451516:39-2317

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2