Result
2:2
09/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Aydin E. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Huseynli R. ⚽,
- 37', Onanuga O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Djibrilla I. ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
- 46', Konate B. ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Verdasca D. ⚽,
- 52', Pachu 🟨,
- 64', Mickels L. ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
- 69', Cafarov C. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 72', Guima ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
- 76', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
- 81', Henrique Gelain 🟨,
- 82', Abuladze M. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+4', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
- 90+4', Nabiyev F. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Ruan Renato ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zira
68.2% | Draw
21.5% | Kapaz
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Zira - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.43) |
4.21 ↑
(3.98) |
8.77 ↑
(6.65) |
10.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zira - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Zira (1.50) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1.25 - Zira (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 3 - 75%). Kapaz (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 5.
- Zira is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kapaz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Zira is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Zira will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:8. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Kapaz?
Zira has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Zira?
Kapaz has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Kapaz were as follows:
28.11.2025
Kapaz
-
Zira
0:2
30.08.2025
Zira
-
Kapaz
5:0
26.04.2025
Kapaz
-
Zira
0:1
24.02.2025
Zira
-
Kapaz
2:0
08.12.2024
Kapaz
-
Zira
0:4
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
