Result
3:0
27/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ohori R. ⚽,
- 12', Ba M. 🟨,
- 19', 2 - 0, Pachu ⚽,
- 35', Mustafaev E. 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 0, Pachu (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Imanov Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Murata M. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 46', Mustafaev E. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
- 57', Orujov N. 🟨,
- 58', Ba M. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 62', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
- 66', Keffel ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
- 66', Badolo C. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 67', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
- 75', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Muradly S. ↑,
- 78', Ohori R. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 78', Nabiyev F. ↓, Kalantarov F. ↑,
- 79', Haciyev R. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
29.3% | Draw
28.3% | Sumgayit
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Kapaz - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.15) |
3.22 ↑
(3.13) |
2.15 ↑
(2.14) |
9.7%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kapaz - Sumgayit?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sumgayit (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1.
- Kapaz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sumgayit has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Sumgayit?
Kapaz has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Kapaz?
Sumgayit has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Sumgayit were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
3:0
11.05.2025
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
1:0
10.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
3:0
20.12.2024
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
0:0
03.08.2024
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
2:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
