Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
- Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Keffel ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
- 32', Onanuga O. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
- 43', Feyziyev K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nabiyev F. ↓, Shahverdiyev E. ↑,
- 54', Mustafaev E. 🟨,
- 61', Mustafaev E. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
- 63', Shahverdiyev E. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Imanov Y. (Own goal),
- 77', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 77', Ninkovic N. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
- 78', Ohori R. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 78', Fofana A. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Huseynli R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', 2 - 1, Huseynli R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', Pachu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
35.5% | Draw
30.8% | Sumgayit
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kapaz's performance.Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumgayit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kapaz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumgayit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kapaz - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(3.05) |
2.96 ↓
(3.15) |
2.71 ↑
(2.23) |
9.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kapaz - Sumgayit?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kapaz will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sumgayit will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kapaz: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 2.
- Kapaz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sumgayit's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sumgayit might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Sumgayit?
Kapaz has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Kapaz?
Sumgayit has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Sumgayit were as follows:
27.02.2026
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
3:0
17.08.2025
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
3:0
11.05.2025
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
1:0
10.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
3:0
20.12.2024
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
0:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 72:21 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63:23 | 40 | 62 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Zira | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
