Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca
Result
2:1
29/10/2025 at 16:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
811
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
72%62%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (39/49)63% (33/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
37% (19/52)20% (10/49)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (16/32)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)100% (1/1)
Winners
1224
Unforced Errors
616
Net Points Won
90% (9/10)65% (15/23)
Service Points Won
72% (49/68)61% (48/79)
Return Points Won
39% (31/79)28% (19/68)
Total Points Won
54% (80/147)46% (67/147)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Karen Khachanov
56.3%
Joao Fonseca
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 43.2%

Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(1.6)

2.18
(2.26)
5.8%
(6.7%)
What is the prediction for Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Fonseca will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 41%80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karen Khachanov will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Khachanov is ranked ATP: 14. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 28.
    • Khachanov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fonseca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Khachanov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    25.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar 2:0
    24.10.2025 Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. retired
    22.10.2025 Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca Fonseca J. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2