Result
3:2
06/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/478) | 76% (251/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/478) | 76% (251/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (66/103) | 61% (63/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (1/2) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Akiyama H. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Maglica M. (Own goal),
- 45', 1 - 1, Richter M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽,
- 54', Muller A. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Schleusener F. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
- 62', Beifus M. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 2, Maglica M. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
- 67', Forster P. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
- 73', Lopez S. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
- 73', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
- 73', Nurnberger F. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
- 79', Schleusener F. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
- 79', Burnic D. ↓, Laghrissi E. ↑,
- 82', Richter M. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
- 89', Marseiler L. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
- 90+4', Waschenbach M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Darmstadt
56% | Draw
23% | Karlsruher
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Darmstadt - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.66) |
4.1 ↓
(4.12) |
4.49 ↑
(4.48) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Karlsruher?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Darmstadt will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Darmstadt is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Egloff L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Karlsruher?
Darmstadt has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Darmstadt?
Karlsruher has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Karlsruher were as follows:
07.03.2025
Darmstadt
-
Karlsruher
3:0
04.10.2024
Karlsruher
-
Darmstadt
3:3
21.04.2023
Darmstadt
-
Karlsruher
2:1
15.10.2022
Karlsruher
-
Darmstadt
1:2
Latest results of Darmstadt
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
