Darmstadt vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
06/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.930.70
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
87% (416/478)76% (251/329)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.930.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.57
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
106
Passes
87% (416/478)76% (251/329)
Long passes
56% (35/63)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
64% (66/103)61% (63/103)
Crosses
50% (9/18)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.06
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
610
Tackles
80% (4/5)50% (1/2)
Duels won
3826
Clearances
3411
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.573.21
Goals prevented
-0.430.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Akiyama H. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Maglica M. (Own goal),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Richter M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Lidberg I. ,
  • 54', Muller A. , Waschenbach M. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Schleusener F. , Wanitzek M. (A),
  • 62', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 2, Maglica M. , Richter M. (A),
  • 67', Forster P. , Opitz L. ,
  • 73', Lopez S. , Bader M. ,
  • 73', Akiyama H. , Papela M. ,
  • 73', Nurnberger F. , Holland F. ,
  • 79', Schleusener F. , Simic R. ,
  • 79', Burnic D. , Laghrissi E. ,
  • 82', Richter M. , Vukotic A. ,
  • 89', Marseiler L. , Furukawa Y. ,
  • 90+4', Waschenbach M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
56%
Draw
23%
Karlsruher
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 22.7% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 21.7% 19.9%

Darmstadt - Karlsruher Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.66)
4.1
(4.12)
4.49
(4.48)
6.1%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Karlsruher?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Darmstadt is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Karlsruher were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:0
    04.10.2024 Karlsruher - Darmstadt 3:3
    21.04.2023 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 2:1
    15.10.2022 Karlsruher - Darmstadt 1:2
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0
    08.11.2025 Hannover - Darmstadt 2:3
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    28.11.2025 Hannover - Karlsruher 3:0
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3
    13.11.2025 Karlsruher - Luzern 2:0
    01.11.2025 Karlsruher - Schalke 04 2:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke20123524:141039
    2Elversberg20115437:201738
    3Darmstadt20108236:221438
    4Paderborn20113631:23836
    5Hannover20105535:27835
    6Kaiserslautern2094735:27831
    7Hertha Berlin2087525:20531
    8Bochum2075829:26326
    9Nurnberg2075823:28-526
    10Karlsruher SC2075829:36-726
    11Holstein Kiel2066825:26-124
    12Braunschweig20731021:32-1124
    13Dusseldorf20721119:30-1123
    14Arminia Bielefeld2056930:28221
    15Preussen Munster2056924:31-721
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20551029:36-720
    17Magdeburg20621226:33-720
    18Greuther Furth20541128:47-1919

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