Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
29
1st serve percentage
62%60%
1st serve points won
56% (22/39)61% (31/51)
2nd serve points won
42% (10/24)32% (11/34)
Break Points Saved
2/67/13
1st return points won
39% (20/51)44% (17/39)
2nd return points won
68% (23/34)58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
6/134/6
Service Points Won
51% (32/63)49% (42/85)
Return Points Won
51% (43/85)49% (31/63)
Total Points Won
51% (75/148)49% (73/148)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
64% (7/11)45% (5/11)
Return games won
55% (6/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
67%
Elise Mertens
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.43)

    2.85
    (2.67)
    5.3%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 35.2%92%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 12. Mertens is ranked WTA: 20.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    11.04.2026 Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic Canceled
    10.04.2026 Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler Kessler M. Retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)TBD #2
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2