Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
66%58%
1st serve points won
73% (43/59)68% (39/57)
2nd serve points won
65% (20/31)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
1/35/8
1st return points won
32% (18/57)29% (17/59)
2nd return points won
41% (17/41)35% (11/31)
Break Points Converted
3/82/3
Service Points Won
69% (63/91)64% (63/99)
Return Points Won
36% (36/99)31% (28/91)
Total Points Won
52% (99/190)48% (91/190)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)13% (2/16)
Total games won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
69.2%
Karolina Pliskova
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.36)

    3.1
    (2.98)
    4.2%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Karolina Pliskova will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Pliskova is ranked WTA: 197.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Pliskova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mertens is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova were as follows:
    26.06.2023 Karolina Pliskova - Elise Mertens Mertens E. retired
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    11.04.2026 Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic Canceled
    10.04.2026 Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler Kessler M. Retired
    Latest results of Karolina Pliskova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8TBD #15Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2