Result
0:3
12/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.26 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/23) | 12.5% (3/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.3% (21/23) | 100% (23/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.73 | 47.27 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 12:45, Nikupeteri O. (2 min),
- 19:59, 0 - 1, Hermonen J. (G),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 09:42, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 13:49, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 17:44, 0 - 2, Anttila M. (G), Virta P. (A), Hermonen J. (A2)
- 18:42, Halloran N. (2 min),
- 18:46, 0 - 3, Virta P. (G), Turunen T. (A),
Chances of winning
Tappara
40.4% | Draw
22.7% | Kärpät
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tappara's form might have worsened.Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kärpät's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tappara - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.06) |
4.18 ↑
(3.98) |
2.55 ↓
(3.16) |
5.9%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tappara won 4.
- Recent matches Tappara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Kärpät is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Tappara to win the game is with odds 2.31.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tappara won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 62:45 (average 3.1:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tappara won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:16 (average 3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Kärpät?
Tappara has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Tappara?
Kärpät has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Kärpät were as follows:
08.03.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
2:4
28.09.2024
Kärpät
-
Tappara
5:8
27.09.2024
Tappara
-
Kärpät
4:1
09.03.2024
Tappara
-
Kärpät
3:1
30.12.2023
Kärpät
-
Tappara
5:2
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
