Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 3.28 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 6.25% (2/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.75% (30/32) | 85% (17/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.28 | 54.72 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 06:10, Hirvonen R. (2 min),
- 07:18, Nutivaara M. (2 min),
- 07:34, 1 - 0, Tanus K. (G), Haapala H. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
- 08:09, 2 - 0, Blichfeld J. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 09:17, Tikka T. (5 min),
- 13:13, 2 - 1, Erholtz E. (G),
- 15:46, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:30, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 07:33, Tanus K. (2 min),
- 15:55, 3 - 1, Blichfeld J. (G), Tanus K. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:28, Simontaival K. (2 min),
- 09:26, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 15:31, Suvanto O. (2 min),
- 16:44, 3 - 2, Erholtz E. (G), Kantner M. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tappara
57.5% | Draw
21.2% | Kärpät
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kärpät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kärpät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tappara - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.85) |
4.49 ↓
(4.7) |
4.39 ↑
(3.36) |
6.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tappara - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:49. (average 3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 2.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Kärpät?
Tappara has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Tappara?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Kärpät were as follows:
29.08.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
4:3
12.03.2025
Tappara
-
Kärpät
0:3
08.03.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
2:4
28.09.2024
Kärpät
-
Tappara
5:8
27.09.2024
Tappara
-
Kärpät
4:1
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
