Result
1:4
04/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 2.86 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 20% (4/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.41 | 35.59 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 14:57, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:17, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 03:53, 1 - 0, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 07:39, 1 - 1, Kantner M. (G),
- 08:36, Andersson J. (2 min),
- 14:28, Sylvegard E. (2 min),
- 16:14, 1 - 2, Kantner M. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:21, 1 - 3, Nutivaara M. (G), Antti-Roiko A. (A), Stalberg S. (A2)
- 15:50, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 16:00, Tanus K. (2 min),
- 16:35, 1 - 4, Kantner M. (G), Raty Aku (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tappara
65.8% | Draw
17.8% | Kärpät
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tappara - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.53) |
5.24 ↑
(4.48) |
5.7 ↑
(5.14) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tappara - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tappara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Tappara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tappara is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 63:48. (average 3.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 2.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Kärpät?
Tappara has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Tappara?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Kärpät were as follows:
01.11.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
3:4
27.09.2025
Tappara
-
Kärpät
3:2
29.08.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
4:3
12.03.2025
Tappara
-
Kärpät
0:3
08.03.2025
Kärpät
-
Tappara
2:4
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
