Result
1:1
15/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Sno S. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Almeida D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Abdullayev V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sno S. ↓, Abdullayev A. ↑,
- 49', Abdullayev A. 🟨,
- 63', Viegas R. 🟨,
- 70', Doyeni O. 🟨,
- 76', Juninho ↓, Mahmudov K. ↑,
- 84', Karaklajic N. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
- 84', Cahangirov U. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
- 84', Yaw M. ↓, Inqilably I. ↑,
- 90+3', Turabov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
İmişli
54.3% | Draw
26.8% | Karvan
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İmişli's performance.Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İmişli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
İmişli - Karvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.93) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
4.85 ↑
(3.57) |
9%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for İmişli - Karvan?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. İmişli (votes: 3 - 60%). Karvan (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - İmişli (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Karvan (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
İmişli will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. İmişli (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karvan (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 3.
- İmişli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Karvan has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- İmişli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, İmişli is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, İmişli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has İmişli won against Karvan?
İmişli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against İmişli?
Karvan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İmişli - Karvan were as follows:
19.09.2025
Karvan
-
İmişli
0:3
06.02.2025
İmişli
-
Karvan
2:0
16.10.2024
Karvan
-
İmişli
3:2
01.05.2024
Karvan
-
İmişli
1:0
29.02.2024
İmişli
-
Karvan
2:0
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
