Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 39', Cahangirov U. ↓, Spence K. C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Veremeev V. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
- 49', Apolinario R. 🟨,
- 60', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
- 71', Kings P. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
- 72', Masimov V. ↓, Ngwisani M. ↑,
- 73', Apolinario R. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 81', Mickels J. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 81', Spence K. C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
- 84', Rustamov E. 🟨,
- 87', Agcabayov A. ↓, Mehraliyev N. ↑,
- 87', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 88', Tircoveanu A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Turabov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karvan
23.1% | Draw
28.6% | Shamakhi
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Karvan aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Karvan - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.86) |
3.18 ↑
(3.13) |
1.88 ↓
(1.9) |
9.9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Karvan - Shamakhi?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Karvan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shamakhi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Karvan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shamakhi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Shamakhi?
Karvan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Karvan?
Shamakhi has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Shamakhi were as follows:
07.12.2025
Karvan
-
Shamakhi
0:3
14.09.2025
Shamakhi
-
Karvan
3:0
07.03.2024
Karvan
-
Shamakhi
0:6
24.11.2023
Shamakhi
-
Karvan
2:4
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
