Result
0:1
19/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Abdullayev V. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Henrique Gelain 🟨,
- 67', Abdullazada R. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
- 67', Guima ↓, Konate B. ↑,
- 67', Papunashvili G. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 1, Nuriyev A. ⚽,
- 80', Kings P. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
- 89', Barker I. ↓, Masimov V. ↑,
- 89', Abdullayev V. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karvan
10.4% | Draw
21.2% | Zira
68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Karvan - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.89 ↑
(6.66) |
4.37 ↑
(3.93) |
1.35 ↓
(1.43) |
8%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karvan - Zira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Zira will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Karvan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Zira's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Zira is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Zira?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Karvan?
Zira has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Zira were as follows:
14.02.2026
Zira
-
Karvan
1:0
01.11.2025
Karvan
-
Zira
2:3
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
