Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 1
- Referee: Opocensky V. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/395) | 74% (221/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/395) | 74% (221/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/54) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (41/81) | 64% (74/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Peterka J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Singhateh E. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
- 27', Singhateh E. 🟨,
- 40', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sebrle S. ↓, Fokam J. ↑,
- 50', Isife S. 🟨,
- 59', Sehovic Z. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
- 59', Isife S. ↓, Jedlicka T. ↑,
- 59', Tijani S. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
- 64', Vecheta F. ↓, Gning A. ↑,
- 68', Singhateh E. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
- 68', Vallo K. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Sigut S. ⚽,
- 79', Cermak M. ↓, Hrubes J. ↑,
- 86', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
49.3% | Draw
26.3% | Dukla Prague
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+2%)
Karviná - Dukla Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.11) |
3.55 ↑
(3.39) |
3.83 ↑
(3.33) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karviná - Dukla Prague?
Users Predictions:
Karviná will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3.
- Karviná is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dukla Prague is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Karviná is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Karviná: Camara S.
(Red Card)
Planka D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M.
(Health problems)
Kozma D.
(Injury)
Mesanovic M.
(Tendon Injury)
Mikus R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Buzek A.
(Injury)
Krcik D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Gaszczyk P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Dukla Prague?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Karviná?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Dukla Prague were as follows:
12.03.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Karviná
0:0
01.09.2024
Karviná
-
Dukla Prague
0:0
13.05.2023
Dukla Prague
-
Karviná
0:3
22.10.2022
Karviná
-
Dukla Prague
5:0
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Plzen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Zlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Karvina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Liberec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Teplice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Dukla Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
