Result
3:1
30/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/397) | 76% (254/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/397) | 76% (254/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (85/128) | 58% (46/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Krcik D. 🟨,
- 27', Cavos P. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Masek L. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Sigut S. ⚽, Samko D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Tomic M. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Vecheta F. ⚽,
- 61', 3 - 1, Vecheta F. ⚽,
- 65', Marecek D. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
- 65', Masek L. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
- 69', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
- 72', Haliti J. ↓, Sakala B. ↑,
- 72', Kostka D. ↓, Penner N. ↑,
- 76', Penner N. 🟨,
- 79', Mandous A. 🟨,
- 85', Cavos P. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
- 85', Vecheta F. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
- 86', Stransky V. ↓, Ibrahimaj Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Penner N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vallo K. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
39.6% | Draw
26.2% | Mladá Boleslav
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Karviná - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.27) |
3.6 ↑
(3.58) |
2.74 ↓
(2.84) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karviná - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karviná won 0.
- Recent matches Karviná is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mladá Boleslav is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Karviná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Karviná have a series of guest games.
- Karviná will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karviná: Bergqvist D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Buryan J.
(Injury)
Kostka D.
(Injury)
Kozel D.
(Injury)
Kral T.
(Injury)
Kralik M.
(Injury)
Mares D.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Karviná won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:22 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karviná won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Mladá Boleslav?
Karviná has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Karviná?
Mladá Boleslav has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
27.10.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
1:1
13.12.2023
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
2:2
05.08.2023
Karviná
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:2
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Plzen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Zlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Karvina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Liberec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Teplice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Dukla Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
