Result
2:4
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 13
- Referee: Petrik J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (311/394) | 81% (321/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (311/394) | 81% (321/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 67% (90/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Gning A. ⚽,
- 34', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Vojta M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', John S. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
- 46', Sevcik M. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Samko D. ⚽, Gning A. (A),
- 51', 0 - 3, Samko D. ⚽, Singhateh E. (A),
- 55', 0 - 4, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Singhateh E. (A),
- 58', Singhateh E. ↓, Sigut S. ↑,
- 58', Ayaosi E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 58', Vojta M. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
- 58', Prebsl F. ↓, Kozel D. ↑,
- 61', Matousek F. 🟨,
- 70', Gning A. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
- 70', Samko D. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 4, Lehky F. ⚽, Kolarik J. (A),
- 78', Buzek A. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
- 83', Pech Da. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 4, Klima J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mladá Boleslav
44.1% | Draw
25% | Karviná
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Mladá Boleslav - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.1) |
3.74 ↓
(3.8) |
3.01 ↑
(2.89) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mladá Boleslav may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mladá Boleslav has had a series of away games.
- Mladá Boleslav might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Mares D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Vallo K.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Karviná?
Mladá Boleslav has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Mladá Boleslav?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Karviná were as follows:
30.03.2025
Karviná
-
Mladá Boleslav
3:1
27.10.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
1:1
13.12.2023
Mladá Boleslav
-
Karviná
2:2
05.08.2023
Karviná
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:2
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Plzen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
