Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 29
- Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (333/396) | 69% (163/236) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (333/396) | 69% (163/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 53% (40/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Krollis R. ⚽, Hodous P. (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Kahuan Vinicius ⚽,
- 20', Kristan J. 🟨,
- 22', Milic N. 🟨,
- 22', Storman R. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 25', Skyba Y. 🟨,
- 33', Diakite T. 🟨,
- 42', Drakpe A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kayondo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Milic N. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
- 61', Diakite T. 🟨,
- 64', Soliu A. ↓, Dulay P. ↑,
- 64', Masopust L. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
- 64', Mahmic E. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Traore A. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 76', Krollis R. ↓, Letenay L. ↑,
- 76', Hodous P. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Kacor P. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 82', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 82', Kahuan Vinicius ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
- 87', Kacor P. 🟨,
- 88', Kacor P. ↓, Lawali Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
29% | Draw
27% | Slovan Liberec
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karviná's form might have worsened.Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovan Liberec's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karviná, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovan Liberec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karviná - Slovan Liberec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.68) |
3.46 ↑
(3.42) |
2.14 ↓
(2.44) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Karviná - Slovan Liberec?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.
- Karviná is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Slovan Liberec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Karviná may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Karviná: Sigut S.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Berbic H.
(Injury)
Gabriel S.
(Knee Injury)
Knapik J.
(Knee Injury)
Zyba Q.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Slovan Liberec: N'Guessan A.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Slovan Liberec?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slovan Liberec won against Karviná?
Slovan Liberec has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Slovan Liberec were as follows:
09.11.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Karviná
6:0
19.04.2025
Slovan Liberec
-
Karviná
2:3
21.07.2024
Karviná
-
Slovan Liberec
1:3
09.03.2024
Slovan Liberec
-
Karviná
1:0
30.09.2023
Karviná
-
Slovan Liberec
5:2
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 63:23 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 63 |
| 3 | Plzen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 6 | Liberec | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 41 |
| 9 | Karvina | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Zlin | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Teplice | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Dukla Prague | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 20:42 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 23 |
| 16 | Ostrava | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
