Karviná vs Teplice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech 1 Liga Karviná - Teplice
Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 7
  • Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.59
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (343/429)72% (226/314)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.500.03
Total shots
911
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
80% (343/429)72% (226/314)
Long passes
40% (29/72)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
54% (43/80)57% (67/118)
Crosses
50% (2/4)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.39
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
1712
Tackles
58% (7/12)100% (12/12)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.033.50
Goals prevented
0.03-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Gning A. , Singhateh E. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Gning A. , Samko D. (A),
  • 30', Bilek M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vecerka D. , Auta J. ,
  • 46', Bilek M. , Naprstek M. ,
  • 53', 3 - 0, Buzek A. , Gning A. (A),
  • 63', Planka D. , Storman R. ,
  • 68', Trubac D. , Marecek L. ,
  • 68', Pulkrab M. , Tsykalo Y. ,
  • 73', Buzek A. , Ezeh L. ,
  • 73', Gning A. , Vecheta F. ,
  • 79', 4 - 0, Ezeh L. , Samko D. (A),
  • 81', Singhateh E. , Ayaosi E. ,
  • 81', Samko D. , Kacor P. ,
  • 83', Jakubko J. , Audinis N. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Camara S. (Own goal),
  • 89', Auta J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Karviná
62.3%
Draw
21.8%
Teplice
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.6% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 24.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karviná's performance.
  • Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teplice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karviná that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teplice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karviná - Teplice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.02)
    5.62
    (3.53)
    7.9
    (3.49)
    -15.6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Karviná may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Karviná could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J. (Injury) Takacs L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karviná: Vallo K. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Teplice: Svatek P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Teplice were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Karviná - Teplice 1:1
    24.08.2024 Teplice - Karviná 1:3
    24.02.2024 Teplice - Karviná 2:2
    16.09.2023 Karviná - Teplice 0:1
    Latest results of Karviná
    27.08.2025 Bospor Bohumín - Karviná 1:6
    23.08.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Karviná 2:1
    17.08.2025 Karviná - Bohemians 1905 1:2
    10.08.2025 Baník Ostrava - Karviná 1:2
    02.08.2025 Karviná - Zlín 0:1
    Latest results of Teplice
    26.08.2025 Robstav Velvary - Teplice 0:2
    23.08.2025 Teplice - Jablonec 0:1
    16.08.2025 Slovácko - Teplice 2:1
    09.08.2025 Slavia Prague - Teplice 3:0
    02.08.2025 Teplice - Bohemians 1905 3:0
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague761016:7919
    2Slavia Prague752015:51017
    3Jablonec74309:3615
    4Zlin741210:8213
    5Sigma Olomouc74125:3213
    6Plzen733115:7812
    7Karvina740312:8412
    8Liberec72239:10-18
    9Bohemians62134:8-47
    10Hradec Kralove71338:11-36
    11Dukla Prague71336:9-36
    12Slovacko71244:9-55
    13Ostrava51134:5-14
    14Mlada Boleslav611411:19-84
    15Teplice61056:13-73
    16FK Pardubice60246:15-92

          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
          Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )