Result
0:0
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/455) | 74% (227/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/455) | 74% (227/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 47% (35/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (88/128) | 55% (53/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
- 27', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 45', Zlatohlavek T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pira J. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 59', Buchta D. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
- 69', Ayaosi E. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 69', Labik A. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
- 78', Kohut M. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 90+1', Singhateh E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
- 90+3', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 90+3', Kristan J. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
44% | Draw
26.6% | Baník Ostrava
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Karviná - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13
(2.13) |
3.52 ↓
(3.79) |
3.19 ↑
(2.96) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Karviná - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karviná: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karviná (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Karviná (1.57) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Karviná (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Karviná (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Karviná (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
- Karviná is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Baník Ostrava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Karviná may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Karviná could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Karviná: Traore A.
(Red Card)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L.
(Hernia)
Frydrych M.
(Yellow Cards)
Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Buzek A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Plavsic S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Baník Ostrava?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Karviná?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
10.08.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
1:2
30.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:1
28.08.2024
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
0:0
14.04.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:2
05.11.2023
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
