Gamba Osaka vs Kashima Antlers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

: J1 League - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.80
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
82% (421/514)	79% (306/385)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.13	0.65
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
14	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
34	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	5
Passes
82% (421/514)	79% (306/385)
Long passes
31% (12/39)	37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
73% (141/192)	67% (60/90)
Crosses
35% (12/34)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.10	0.63
Throw-ins
34	13
Fouls
5	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
47	45
Clearances
18	46
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.65	0.13
Goals prevented
-0.35	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Kim Tae-Hyeon (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Funabashi Y. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
60', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
60', Shibasaki G. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
60', Anzai K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
76', Yamashita R. ↓, Welton ↑,
81', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
90+2', Kurokawa K. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
40%

Draw
27.5%

Kashima Antlers
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.48)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)	6.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Kashima will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 38.8% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1.
Gamba Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury) Suzuki T. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Kashima: Sekigawa I. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Usami T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kashima: Morooka S. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashima Antlers?

Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Gamba Osaka?

Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

26.06.2024 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0

28.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:2

24.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 2:1

05.11.2022 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	23	12	8	3	31:20	11	44
2	Vissel Kobe	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
3	Kyoto	23	12	5	6	38:27	11	41
4	Kashima Antlers	23	13	2	8	33:22	11	41
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	23	12	3	8	27:18	9	39
6	Kawasaki Frontale	23	10	8	5	37:24	13	38
7	Machida	23	11	4	8	33:25	8	37
8	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	23	9	6	8	34:30	4	33
10	Gamba Osaka	23	9	4	10	27:30	-3	31
11	Okayama	23	8	6	9	19:20	-1	30
12	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
13	Nagoya Grampus	23	7	7	9	28:30	-2	28
14	Verdy	23	7	7	9	15:23	-8	28
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	23	7	6	10	27:32	-5	27
16	FC Tokyo	23	7	5	11	24:32	-8	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	22	6	5	11	16:30	-14	23
18	Yokohama FC	23	5	4	14	14:28	-14	19
19	Albirex Niigata	23	4	7	12	24:39	-15	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	23	4	6	13	20:32	-12	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers?

It is being streamed on channel


Japan	DAZN Japan