Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

J1 League - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.68
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	1
Passes
86% (475/555)	83% (369/443)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	0.20
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	1
Touches in opposition box
28	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
86% (475/555)	83% (369/443)
Long passes
32% (12/37)	38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
71% (110/156)	75% (120/159)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.85
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
44	47
Clearances
18	30
Interceptions
12	16
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.20	1.25
Goals prevented
0.20	1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Misao K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
60', Yamashita R. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
60', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
60', Kurata S. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
66', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
72', Leo Ceara ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
72', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
72', Cavric A. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
81', Tsukui K. 🟨,
81', Suzuki Y. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
90+2', Tokuda H. (Pen),
90+5', Mitsuta M. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
90+5', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
45.7%

Draw
26.1%

Gamba Osaka
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)

Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)	3.6 ↑ (3.47)	3.33 ↑ (3.04)	5.8% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 50.8% – 88.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Gamba Osaka?

Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashima Antlers?

Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1

26.06.2024 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0

28.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:2

24.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 2:1

05.11.2022 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

27.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:4 ✺

23.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

02.10.2025 Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 4:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Eastern AA 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League