Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (475/555) | 83% (369/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (475/555) | 83% (369/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (12/37) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/156) | 75% (120/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Misao K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 60', Yamashita R. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 60', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 60', Kurata S. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 66', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 72', Leo Ceara ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
- 72', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 72', Cavric A. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 81', Tsukui K. 🟨,
- 81', Suzuki Y. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
- 90+2', Tokuda H. (Pen),
- 90+5', Mitsuta M. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 90+5', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
45.7% | Draw
26.1% | Gamba Osaka
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)
Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.34) |
3.6 ↑
(3.47) |
3.33 ↑
(3.04) |
5.8%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 50.8% – 88.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Kashima (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Gamba Osaka?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashima Antlers?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
31.05.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
26.06.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
28.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
1:2
24.06.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
2:1
05.11.2022
Kashima Antlers
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
