Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.68
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
86% (475/555)83% (369/443)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.20
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (475/555)83% (369/443)
Long passes
32% (12/37)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
71% (110/156)75% (120/159)
Crosses
27% (4/15)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.85
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1313
Tackles
69% (9/13)31% (4/13)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
1216
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.201.25
Goals prevented
0.201.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Misao K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
  • 60', Yamashita R. , Mito R. ,
  • 60', Jebali I. , Hummet D. ,
  • 60', Kurata S. , Usami T. ,
  • 66', Elber , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 72', Leo Ceara , Tokuda H. ,
  • 72', Funabashi Y. , Chinen K. ,
  • 72', Cavric A. , Tsukui K. ,
  • 81', Tsukui K. 🟨,
  • 81', Suzuki Y. , Araki R. ,
  • 90+2', Tokuda H. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Mitsuta M. , Okunuki K. ,
  • 90+5', Kurokawa K. , Sasaki S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
45.7%
Draw
26.1%
Gamba Osaka
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 27.6% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 28.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.34)
    3.6
    (3.47)
    3.33
    (3.04)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 50.8%88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Kashima (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
    • Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    26.06.2024 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0
    28.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:2
    24.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 2:1
    05.11.2022 Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka 0:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)