Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.00
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
75% (325/433)80% (366/456)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.33
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Passes
75% (325/433)80% (366/456)
Long passes
37% (26/70)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)67% (64/96)
Crosses
20% (5/25)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.68
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
813
Tackles
55% (12/22)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
1038
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.330.12
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. , Morishima T. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. , Hosoya M. (A),
  • 45', Diego 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Shirai E. , Kumasaka K. ,
  • 46', Nakajima S. , Kubo T. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. , Diego (A),
  • 58', Diego , Koyamatsu T. ,
  • 59', Kinoshita K. , Kakita Y. ,
  • 62', Shiihashi K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 62', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 62', Morishima T. , Hara T. ,
  • 74', Nakayama K. , Tokumoto S. ,
  • 77', Hosoya M. , Koizumi Y. ,
  • 84', Nogami Y. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.2%
Draw
31.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 31.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 32.1% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.81)
    2.99
    (2.97)
    3.08
    (2.69)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1
    09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 0:2
    03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Verdy331091421:35-1439
    15Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    16Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League