Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.00
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
75% (325/433)	80% (366/456)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	1.33
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
4	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
75% (325/433)	80% (366/456)
Long passes
37% (26/70)	48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)	67% (64/96)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.68
Throw-ins
28	25
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
55% (12/22)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
49	49
Clearances
10	38
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.33	0.12
Goals prevented
-0.67	-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
45', Diego 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shirai E. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
46', Nakajima S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Diego (A),
58', Diego ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
59', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
62', Shiihashi K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
62', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
62', Morishima T. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
74', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
77', Hosoya M. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
84', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
38.2%

Draw
31.4%

Kashiwa Reysol
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)

Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.81)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	3.08 ↑ (2.69)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:1

16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 0:2

03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

25.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

26.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League