Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (436/534) | 75% (340/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (436/534) | 75% (340/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 34% (22/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (140/186) | 67% (100/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Sato Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 46', Diego ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Mikuni K. (Own goal),
- 63', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 65', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 66', Nogami Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 70', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 76', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 76', Hara T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 89', Kimura Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
60% | Draw
23.9% | Nagoya Grampus
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.62) |
3.95 ↓
(3.97) |
5.79 ↑
(5.31) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T.
(Finger Injury)
Nakayama K.
(Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
29.04.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:2
14.07.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
09.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
05.06.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
16.03.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
