Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 36
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.63
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
82% (436/534)	75% (340/453)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.43
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
22	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
82% (436/534)	75% (340/453)
Long passes
42% (32/76)	34% (22/64)
Passes in final third
75% (140/186)	67% (100/149)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.70
Throw-ins
20	32
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
57% (8/14)	62% (16/26)
Duels won
40	60
Clearances
28	21
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.43	0.91
Goals prevented
0.43	0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Sato Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
46', Diego ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Mikuni K. (Own goal),
63', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
65', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
66', Nogami Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
70', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
76', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
76', Hara T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
89', Kimura Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
60%

Draw
23.9%

Nagoya Grampus
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.95 ↓ (3.97)	5.79 ↑ (5.31)	5.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T. (Finger Injury) Nakayama K. (Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

29.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2

14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:1

16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 0:2

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

01.11.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:5 ✺

12.10.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1 ✺

08.10.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

25.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers 0:4 ✺

23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	10	8	0	2	0	18:7	26
2	FC Tokyo	11	5	3	2	1	19:10	23
3	Machida	11	5	3	1	2	17:16	22
4	Verdy	10	3	3	0	4	16:15	15
5	Kawasaki Frontale	10	3	2	1	4	16:19	14
6	Urawa Reds	10	3	0	3	4	14:15	12
7	Mito	10	1	3	3	3	13:19	12
8	Kashiwa Reysol	10	3	1	0	6	15:14	11
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	10	3	0	0	7	13:18	9
10	Chiba	10	2	0	3	5	10:18	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	11	7	1	2	1	23:12	25
2	Kyoto	10	4	2	1	3	17:12	17
3	Gamba Osaka	10	3	3	2	2	16:14	17
4	Shimizu S-Pulse	11	3	2	4	2	15:14	17
5	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	1	2	3	17:15	16
6	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	2	1	4	10:11	14
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	3	2	0	5	15:14	13
8	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	4	0	0	6	10:15	12
9	Avispa Fukuoka	10	2	2	1	5	10:17	11
10	Okayama	10	2	1	3	4	11:20	11

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)