Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
1:1
16/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
33.5%
Draw
26.5%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 25.8% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatih Karagümrükspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.15)
    3.57
    (3.65)
    2.37
    (3.1)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 52.1%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 1.
    • Kasımpaşa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Karagümrük is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Ben Ouanes M. (Yellow Cards) Claudio Winck (Yellow Cards) Saddiki D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Bastien S. (Muscle Injury) Cetinkaya E. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    01.10.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa 2:3
    06.06.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa 3:0
    15.01.2023 Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    04.02.2024 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1
    29.01.2024 Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa 2:3
    23.01.2024 Pendikspor - Kasımpaşa 3:2
    20.01.2024 Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor 3:0
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

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          Relegation ~ 1. Lig