Result
3:2
16/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 22
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (274/347) | 83% (385/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (274/347) | 83% (385/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/83) | 71% (99/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Demirbay K. ⚽, Ben Ouanes M. (A),
- 30', Belozoglu E. 🟨,
- 34', Winck C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kahveci I. C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 0, Tosun C. ⚽, Kahveci I. C. (A),
- 66', Serginho ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 67', Babicka S. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 67', Kranevitter M. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Kahveci I. C. ⚽, Benedyczak A. (A),
- 71', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
- 76', Demirbay K. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 76', Tosun C. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
- 76', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 79', Kalayci B. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Mladenovic F. ⚽, Larsson S. (A),
- 81', Larsson S. 🟨,
- 87', Benedyczak A. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
- 89', Gueye P. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Ahmed T. ⚽, Verde D. (A),
- 90+5', Tosun C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
45.3% | Draw
28.7% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.84) |
3.28 ↓
(3.68) |
3.66 ↓
(4.09) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Kasımpaşa (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Karagümrük (3.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kasımpaşa will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kasımpaşa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2.
- Kasımpaşa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kasımpaşa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kasımpaşa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Opoku N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Winck C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Doh M.
(Inactive)
Johnson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
13.09.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:1
16.02.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:1
01.10.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kasımpaşa
2:3
06.06.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kasımpaşa
3:0
15.01.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:2
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 37:47 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
