Result
3:3
02/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TOD |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3, Free |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 4 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Serbia | SportKlub 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (232/318) | 79% (291/367) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (73/97) | 67% (81/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 29% (5/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Ozcan Y. 🟨,
- 6', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Ozcan Y. ↓, Rodrigues K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ben Ouanes M. ⚽, Piatkowski K. (A),
- 56', Brekalo J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Brekalo J. ⚽, Gul G. (A),
- 65', Sallai R. ↓, Kutucu A. ↑,
- 65', Lemina M. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Lemina M. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
- 71', 2 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Muslera F. (A),
- 77', Brekalo J. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 80', Elmali E. ↓, Cuesta C. ↑,
- 80', Lemina M. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
- 84', Cuesta C. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 3, Hajradinovic H. (Pen),
- 90', Bardakci A. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Torreira L. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 90+1', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Cafu ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa 19.3% | Draw 22.2% | Galatasaray 58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↓ (6.11) |
4.25 ↓ (5.16) |
1.61 ↑ (1.5) |
6% (2.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 71% – 96.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 0.
- Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Galatasaray is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Yanar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Icardi M.
(Knee Injury)
Jakobs I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Morata A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 28:46 (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.5:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Galatasaray?
Kasımpaşa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Kasımpaşa?
Galatasaray has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray were as follows:
28.09.2024
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
3:3
17.03.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Galatasaray
3:4
03.11.2023
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
2:1
11.03.2023
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
1:0
11.09.2022
Kasımpaşa
-
Galatasaray
2:3
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:4 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Basaksehir | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8:22 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig