Result
3:3
02/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TOD |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3, Free |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 4 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Serbia | SportKlub 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.43 | 2.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on Goal |
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8 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Offsides |
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3 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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32 | 27 |
Passes |
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73% (232/318) | 79% (291/367) |
Passes in the final third |
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75% (73/97) | 67% (81/121) |
Crosses |
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41% (7/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Tackles |
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53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
Clearances Total |
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32 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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1 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Ozcan Y. 🟨,
- 6', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Ozcan Y. ↓, Rodrigues K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ben Ouanes M. ⚽, Piatkowski K. (A),
- 56', Brekalo J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Brekalo J. ⚽, Gul G. (A),
- 65', Sallai R. ↓, Kutucu A. ↑,
- 65', Lemina M. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Lemina M. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
- 71', 2 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Muslera F. (A),
- 77', Brekalo J. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 80', Elmali E. ↓, Cuesta C. ↑,
- 80', Lemina M. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
- 84', Cuesta C. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 3, Hajradinovic H. (Pen),
- 90', Bardakci A. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Torreira L. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 90+1', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Cafu ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa 19.3% | Draw 22.2% | Galatasaray 58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↓ (6.11) |
4.25 ↓ (5.16) |
1.61 ↑ (1.5) |
6% (2.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 71% – 96.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 0.
- Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Galatasaray is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Yanar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Icardi M.
(Knee Injury)
Jakobs I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Morata A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 28:46 (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.5:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Galatasaray?
Kasımpaşa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Kasımpaşa?
Galatasaray has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray were as follows:
28.09.2024
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
3:3
17.03.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Galatasaray
3:4
03.11.2023
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
2:1
11.03.2023
Galatasaray
-
Kasımpaşa
1:0
11.09.2022
Kasımpaşa
-
Galatasaray
2:3
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Antalyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gaziantep | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Samsunspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Alanyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Eyupspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Karagumruk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Fenerbahce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Besiktas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Konyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Genclerbirligi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rizespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Kasimpasa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Kocaelispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Basaksehir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Goztepe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig