Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul).

: Super Lig - Round 32
Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.75	1.38
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
12	4
Passes
83% (361/437)	84% (353/421)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.43	1.94
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
17	3
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
39	12
Through passes
100% (1/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
17	9
Passes
83% (361/437)	84% (353/421)
Long passes
40% (19/48)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
68% (95/139)	64% (54/85)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	1.24
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
65% (11/17)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
51	38
Clearances Total
20	38
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
1.94	4.43
Goals prevented
0.94	1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Keles C. ⚽,
31', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Fall M. ⚽,
36', Opoku N. 🟨,
42', Manaj R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Boke T. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
67', Opoku N. ↓, Piatkowski K. ↑,
73', Simic V. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
73', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
81', Gianniotis A. 🟨,
83', Cigerci T. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Koita F. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
90', Keles C. 🟨,
90', Keles C. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 1, Kara A. (Pen),
90+10', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
90+11', Kara A. ↓, Inci Y. ↑,
90+11', Cafu ↓, Aydin T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Kasımpaşa
53.2%

Draw
23.8%

Sivasspor
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.01)	3.98 (3.98)	4.11 ↑ (3.36)	5.5% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor?

Users Predictions: Kasımpaşa will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kasımpaşa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Kasımpaşa will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Yellow Cards) Nikolic D. (Injury) Paluli M. (Yellow Cards) Radakovic U. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Claudio Winck (Injury) Gul G. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:24 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Sivasspor?

Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Kasımpaşa?

Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor were as follows:

24.11.2024 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0

01.03.2024 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 0:0

22.10.2023 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 0:1

16.05.2023 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 1:2

24.12.2022 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 1:2

Latest results of Kasımpaşa

13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sivasspor

13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor 5:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Sivasspor - Göztepe 3:1 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Antalyaspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gaziantep	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Samsunspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Alanyaspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Eyupspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Karagumruk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Besiktas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Konyaspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Genclerbirligi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Rizespor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Kasimpasa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Kocaelispor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Basaksehir	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Goztepe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig

Which TV channels are streaming of Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2