Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (361/437) | 84% (353/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.43 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (361/437) | 84% (353/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (95/139) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 4.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Keles C. ⚽,
- 31', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Fall M. ⚽,
- 36', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 42', Manaj R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Boke T. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 67', Opoku N. ↓, Piatkowski K. ↑,
- 73', Simic V. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
- 73', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
- 81', Gianniotis A. 🟨,
- 83', Cigerci T. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Koita F. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
- 90', Keles C. 🟨,
- 90', Keles C. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Kara A. (Pen),
- 90+10', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 90+11', Kara A. ↓, Inci Y. ↑,
- 90+11', Cafu ↓, Aydin T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
53.2% | Draw
23.8% | Sivasspor
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.01) |
3.98
(3.98) |
4.11 ↑
(3.36) |
5.5%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor?
Users Predictions:
Kasımpaşa will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kasımpaşa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Kasımpaşa will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C.
(Yellow Cards)
Nikolic D.
(Injury)
Paluli M.
(Yellow Cards)
Radakovic U.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Claudio Winck
(Injury)
Gul G.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:24 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Sivasspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor were as follows:
24.11.2024
Sivasspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:0
01.03.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Sivasspor
0:0
22.10.2023
Sivasspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:1
16.05.2023
Sivasspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
24.12.2022
Kasımpaşa
-
Sivasspor
1:2
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Sivasspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25:5 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Kasimpasa | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8:22 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
