Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor
Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.751.38
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
83% (361/437)84% (353/421)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.751.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.431.94
Total shots
226
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3912
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
179
Passes
83% (361/437)84% (353/421)
Long passes
40% (19/48)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
68% (95/139)64% (54/85)
Crosses
19% (5/27)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.24
Fouls
917
Tackles
65% (11/17)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5138
Clearances Total
2038
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.944.43
Goals prevented
0.941.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Keles C. ,
  • 31', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Fall M. ,
  • 36', Opoku N. 🟨,
  • 42', Manaj R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Boke T. , Rodrigues G. ,
  • 67', Opoku N. , Piatkowski K. ,
  • 73', Simic V. , Koita F. ,
  • 73', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
  • 81', Gianniotis A. 🟨,
  • 83', Cigerci T. , Pritchard A. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Koita F. , Ciftci U. (A),
  • 90', Keles C. 🟨,
  • 90', Keles C. , Brekalo J. ,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Kara A. (Pen),
  • 90+10', Ben Ouanes M. , Barak A. ,
  • 90+11', Kara A. , Inci Y. ,
  • 90+11', Cafu , Aydin T. ,

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
53.2%
Draw
23.8%
Sivasspor
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 24% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 23.8% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.01)
    3.98
    (3.98)
    4.11
    (3.36)
    5.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: Kasımpaşa will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kasımpaşa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Kasımpaşa will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Yellow Cards) Nikolic D. (Injury) Paluli M. (Yellow Cards) Radakovic U. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Claudio Winck (Injury) Gul G. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:24 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    01.03.2024 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 0:0
    22.10.2023 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 0:1
    16.05.2023 Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa 1:2
    24.12.2022 Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor 1:2
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    07.04.2025 Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş 1:1
    29.03.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1
    07.03.2025 Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    16.03.2025 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1
    09.03.2025 Sivasspor - Göztepe 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray330010:0109
    2Trabzonspor33003:039
    3Goztepe32105:057
    4Konyaspor22007:166
    5Samsunspor22003:126
    6Antalyaspor32013:216
    7Fenerbahce21103:124
    8Besiktas11002:113
    9Eyupspor31024:7-33
    10Gaziantep31022:7-53
    11Basaksehir10101:101
    12Alanyaspor20111:2-11
    13Rizespor20110:3-31
    14Kayserispor20111:5-41
    15Kasimpasa20021:3-20
    16Genclerbirligi30032:5-30
    17Kocaelispor30031:5-40
    18Karagumruk20020:5-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig