Kataller Toyama vs Oita Trinita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Kataller Toyama - Oita Trinita
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
67% (226/337)75% (429/572)
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
713
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
169
Passes
67% (226/337)75% (429/572)
Fouls
814
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Matsuoka D. , Yoshihira T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Arima K. ,
  • 64', Matsuda R. , Inoue N. ,
  • 64', Take H. , Usui S. ,
  • 69', Utsumoto S. , Satsukawa A. ,
  • 75', Yoshihira T. , Fukazawa S. ,
  • 75', Matsuoka D. , Takahashi Y. ,
  • 76', Isa K. , Ayukawa S. ,
  • 76', Amagasa T. , Kozakai A. ,
  • 85', Yoshida M. , Shige T. ,
  • 85', Nomura N. , Nakagawa H. ,
  • 85', Fuseya S. , Ura J. ,
  • 90+1', Matheus Pereira 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kataller Toyama
31.6%
Draw
31.9%
Oita Trinita
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.6% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.8% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kataller Toyama's form might have worsened.
  • Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Kataller Toyama - Oita Trinita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.4)
    2.91
    (3.05)
    2.57
    (2.75)
    7.4%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama - Oita Trinita?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kataller Toyama: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).
    • Kataller Toyama is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Oita Trinita has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Latest results of Oita Trinita
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

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