Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Kim Hyun-woo ⚽, Kimoto T. (A),
- 43', Suzuki D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
- 59', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 65', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Isa K. ↑,
- 68', Isotani S. ↓, Kamiyama K. ↑,
- 68', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 75', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
- 75', Kimoto M. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
- 79', Toyoda A. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
- 83', Kimoto T. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
- 85', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
43.8% | Draw
28.3% | Oita Trinita
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.07) |
3.25 ↓
(3.49) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
8.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1.
- Tosu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oita Trinita has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Oita Trinita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tosu is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Oita Trinita?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oita Trinita won against Sagan Tosu?
Oita Trinita has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Oita Trinita
2:1
29.04.2025
Oita Trinita
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:22 | 17 |
| 6 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Kusatsu | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Gifu | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Yamaga | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19:32 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11:30 | 9 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Ehime | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Imabari | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Kamatamare | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:28 | 12 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 36 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
