Result
4:0
10/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TOPLYGA - Round 4
- Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Lithuania | BTV, LNK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Ourega F. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Leo Ribeiro ⚽,
- 35', 3 - 0, Benchaib A. ⚽,
- 43', Asante I. 🟨,
- 45', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
- 69', Asante I. ↓, Simon J. ↑,
- 69', Kouadio S. ↓, Veliulis E. ↑,
- 69', Kurtsev O. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
- 74', Burba M. ↓, Ikaunieks D. ↑,
- 78', Bacanin M. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
- 86', Ourega F. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
- 86', Sirgedas G. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Benchaib A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Tolordava A. ↓, Racic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kauno Žalgiris 60.3% | Draw 22.7% | Panevėžys 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris's form might have worsened.Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.4) |
4.02 ↓ (4.4) |
5.37 ↓ (7.05) |
9.6% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 4.
- Kauno Žalgiris has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Panevėžys has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Kauno Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kauno Žalgiris won against Panevėžys?
Kauno Žalgiris has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panevėžys won against Kauno Žalgiris?
Panevėžys has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys were as follows:
16.02.2026
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
1:0
02.11.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
3:2
24.08.2025
Panevėžys
-
Kauno Žalgiris
1:0
24.06.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Panevėžys
3:0
19.04.2025
Panevėžys
-
Kauno Žalgiris
0:2
Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
Latest results of Panevėžys