Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
10/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TOPLYGA - Round 4
  • Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
lithuaniaLithuaniaBTV, LNK

Match Stats

Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
121
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
185
Shots on target
121
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ourega F. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Leo Ribeiro ,
  • 35', 3 - 0, Benchaib A. ,
  • 43', Asante I. 🟨,
  • 45', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leo Ribeiro , Cernych F. ,
  • 69', Asante I. , Simon J. ,
  • 69', Kouadio S. , Veliulis E. ,
  • 69', Kurtsev O. , Elivelton ,
  • 74', Burba M. , Ikaunieks D. ,
  • 78', Bacanin M. , Muratovic E. ,
  • 86', Ourega F. , Paulauskas V. ,
  • 86', Sirgedas G. , Baldassarra F. ,
  • 90', 4 - 0, Benchaib A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90', Tolordava A. , Racic L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kauno Žalgiris
60.3%
Draw
22.7%
Panevėžys
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 21% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 19.7% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris's form might have worsened.
  • Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.4)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    5.37
    (7.05)
    9.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 4.
    • Kauno Žalgiris has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Panevėžys has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Kauno Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys were as follows:
    16.02.2026 Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys 1:0
    02.11.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys 3:2
    24.08.2025 Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris 1:0
    24.06.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys 3:0
    19.04.2025 Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris 0:2
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Latest results of Panevėžys