Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TOPLYGA - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | BTV, LNK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Tolordava A. 🟨,
- 43', Uzochukwu H. 🟨,
- 43', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Benchaib A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Tangiri F. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
- 70', Steponavicius F. ↓, Haydary O. ↑,
- 84', Stockunas E. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
- 86', Ourega F. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Lawson S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', Seck I. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kauno Žalgiris
64.4% | Draw
23.2% | Sūduva Marijampolė
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris's performance.Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.54) |
3.96 ↑
(3.73) |
7.41 ↑
(5.56) |
8.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
Kauno Žalgiris will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 1.
- Kauno Žalgiris is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sūduva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Kauno Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kauno Žalgiris won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Kauno Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Kauno Žalgiris?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
17.01.2026
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Kauno Žalgiris
0:4
27.10.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Kauno Žalgiris
1:0
24.09.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
1:1
10.08.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:2
13.06.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Kauno Žalgiris
0:0
Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
