Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.19
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
923
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
75% (297/398)76% (336/441)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.53
Total shots
923
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2057
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
812
Passes
75% (297/398)76% (336/441)
Long passes
24% (15/63)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
73% (96/131)71% (123/174)
Crosses
17% (1/6)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.83
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
128
Tackles
63% (10/16)74% (17/23)
Duels won
4473
Clearances
4818
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.530.92
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Ito T. ,
  • 23', Koshimichi S. 🟨,
  • 33', Ito T. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Kawabe H. , Nakano S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ito T. , Ienaga A. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Nakamura S. , Kawabe H. (A),
  • 61', Koshimichi S. , Kato M. ,
  • 61', Sasaki A. , Uremovic F. ,
  • 72', Kawahara S. 🟨,
  • 73', Marcinho , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 77', Arslan T. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 81', Thebault-Yamaguchi L. , Jung Sung-Ryong ,
  • 81', van Wermeskerken S. , Noda H. ,
  • 84', Jesiel 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
31.3%
Draw
25.8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 25.7% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 25.6% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.04)
    3.69
    (3.65)
    2.21
    (2.16)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hiroshima (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.
    • Recent performances by Kawasaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Muscle Injury) Oshima R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2
    29.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    28.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2
    19.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 3:2
    11.06.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)