Result
5:3
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 3.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/385) | 85% (457/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 3.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/385) | 85% (457/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/54) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (105/139) | 72% (111/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Sasaki A. (A),
- 7', 2 - 0, Sasaki A. ⚽, van Wermeskerken S. (A),
- 13', 3 - 0, Ito T. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 37', 4 - 0, Erison ⚽,
- 45+6', 4 - 1, Kozuka K. ⚽, Inui T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kozuka K. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 46', Inui T. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Haneda K. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
- 46', 4 - 2, Takahashi T. ⚽, Matsuzaki K. (A),
- 54', Erison 🟨,
- 57', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 57', Erison ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 60', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
- 68', Uno Z. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 69', 5 - 2, Kawahara S. ⚽,
- 78', Yoshida Y. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- 81', Ito T. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 81', Jesiel ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
- 90+2', 5 - 3, Kitagawa K. (Pen),
- 90+8', Tanabe S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale
68% | Draw
19.4% | Shimizu S-Pulse
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kawasaki Frontale's performance.Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shimizu S-Pulse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shimizu S-Pulse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.67) |
5.65 ↑
(4.16) |
9.3 ↑
(4.42) |
-6.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel
(Muscle Injury)
Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Miura S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:23. (average 2.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:11. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
12.04.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
19.04.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
6:0
08.03.2023
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kawasaki Frontale
3:2
08.10.2022
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:2
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 56 |
| 7 | Machida | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:52 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:50 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Verdy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 42 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:44 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 23:39 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
