Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (172/278) | 76% (261/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (172/278) | 76% (261/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (76/127) | 72% (89/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Appiah Tawiah H. 🟨,
- 8', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
- 31', Marco Tulio ↓, Arai H. ↑,
- 44', Takahashi T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Yumiba M. ↓, Matheus Bueno ↑,
- 48', Arai H. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Uno Z. ⚽, Yoshida Y. (A),
- 65', Matsuda T. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
- 65', Nakano R. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Shimamoto Y. ⚽, Yoshida Y. (A),
- 69', Honda Y. ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
- 70', Capixaba ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 70', Yoon S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
- 70', Sato K. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 82', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 87', Takahashi T. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 90+6', Rafael Elias 🟨,
- 90+8', Joao Pedro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
45% | Draw
28.8% | Shimizu S-Pulse
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.07) |
3.26 ↓
(3.3) |
3.56 ↑
(3.35) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kyoto Sanga will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
- Kyoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K.
(Injury)
Matsuzaki K.
(Injury)
Sumiyoshi J.
(Red Card)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kyoto Sanga?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
14.02.2026
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
20.09.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
16.03.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
10.07.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1
27.08.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
