Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (377/436) | 61% (112/183) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (377/436) | 61% (112/183) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 28% (17/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (149/187) | 29% (12/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (7/51) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 2.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
- 22', Burak A. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Ulgun O. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Varesanovic D. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
- 50', Koita S. 🟥,
- 60', Tokoz D. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 60', Burak A. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
- 66', Gurpuz G. ↓, Osmanoglu S. ↑,
- 70', Tongya F. 🟥,
- 71', Bayazit B. 🟨,
- 72', Goutas D. 🟨,
- 75', Denswil S. 🟨,
- 82', Korkmaz N. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
- 83', Carole L. 🟨,
- 83', Niang M. ↓, Zuzek Z. ↑,
- 83', Niang M. 🟨,
- 90', Ulgun O. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Tuci I. ⚽, Sariarslan T. (A),
- 90+2', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor 37.8% | Draw 30.9% | Gençlerbirliği 31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayserispor's form might have worsened.Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (1.91) |
3.21 ↓ (3.77) |
3.13 ↓ (3.89) |
-1% (4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kayserispor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Injury)
Ait Bennasser Y.
(Inactive)
Benes L.
(Inactive)
Donmezer D.
(Inactive)
Karimi A.
(Inactive)
Onugkha G.
(Inactive)
Soyalp F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M.
(Injury)
Korkmaz N.
(Injury)
Mane C.
(Inactive)
Mendes J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M.
(Inactive)
Uzum F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Kayserispor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Kayserispor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
18.01.2024
Kayserispor
-
Gençlerbirliği
1:2
22.12.2022
Kayserispor
-
Gençlerbirliği
2:0
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:4 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Basaksehir | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8:22 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig