Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 0.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
72% | 28% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
86% (377/436) | 61% (112/183) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 0.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.01 | 0.17 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
14 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 1 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
86% (377/436) | 61% (112/183) |
Long passes |
---|
64% (39/61) | 28% (17/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (149/187) | 29% (12/41) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (7/51) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.64 | 0.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
4 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.17 | 3.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | 2.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
- 22', Burak A. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Ulgun O. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Varesanovic D. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
- 50', Koita S. 🟥,
- 60', Tokoz D. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 60', Burak A. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
- 66', Gurpuz G. ↓, Osmanoglu S. ↑,
- 70', Tongya F. 🟥,
- 71', Bayazit B. 🟨,
- 72', Goutas D. 🟨,
- 75', Denswil S. 🟨,
- 82', Korkmaz N. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
- 83', Carole L. 🟨,
- 83', Niang M. ↓, Zuzek Z. ↑,
- 83', Niang M. 🟨,
- 90', Ulgun O. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Tuci I. ⚽, Sariarslan T. (A),
- 90+2', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor 37.8% | Draw 30.9% | Gençlerbirliği 31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayserispor's form might have worsened.Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (1.91) |
3.21 ↓ (3.77) |
3.13 ↓ (3.89) |
-1% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kayserispor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Injury)
Ait Bennasser Y.
(Inactive)
Benes L.
(Inactive)
Donmezer D.
(Inactive)
Karimi A.
(Inactive)
Onugkha G.
(Inactive)
Soyalp F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M.
(Injury)
Korkmaz N.
(Injury)
Mane C.
(Inactive)
Mendes J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M.
(Inactive)
Uzum F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Kayserispor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Kayserispor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
18.01.2024
Kayserispor
-
Gençlerbirliği
1:2
22.12.2022
Kayserispor
-
Gençlerbirliği
2:0
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Konyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Basaksehir | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig