Kayserispor vs Gençlerbirliği – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 7
  • Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.14
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
232
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
86% (377/436)61% (112/183)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.010.17
Total shots
232
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
141
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
151
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
361
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
86% (377/436)61% (112/183)
Long passes
64% (39/61)28% (17/60)
Passes in final third
80% (149/187)29% (12/41)
Crosses
14% (7/51)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.10
Throw-ins
1711
Fouls
1616
Tackles
82% (9/11)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
445
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.173.01
Goals prevented
-0.832.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
  • 22', Burak A. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Ulgun O. , Niang M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Varesanovic D. , Koita S. ,
  • 50', Koita S. 🟥,
  • 60', Tokoz D. , Tuci I. ,
  • 60', Burak A. , Korkmaz N. ,
  • 66', Gurpuz G. , Osmanoglu S. ,
  • 70', Tongya F. 🟥,
  • 71', Bayazit B. 🟨,
  • 72', Goutas D. 🟨,
  • 75', Denswil S. 🟨,
  • 82', Korkmaz N. , Sariarslan T. ,
  • 83', Carole L. 🟨,
  • 83', Niang M. , Zuzek Z. ,
  • 83', Niang M. 🟨,
  • 90', Ulgun O. , Onyekuru H. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Tuci I. , Sariarslan T. (A),
  • 90+2', Soyalp F. , Ozbek E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
37.8%
Draw
30.9%
Gençlerbirliği
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 25.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 22.4% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayserispor's form might have worsened.
  • Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (1.91)
    3.21
    (3.77)
    3.13
    (3.89)
    -1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kayserispor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Injury) Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Inactive) Donmezer D. (Inactive) Karimi A. (Inactive) Onugkha G. (Inactive) Soyalp F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M. (Injury) Korkmaz N. (Injury) Mane C. (Inactive) Mendes J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M. (Inactive) Uzum F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
    18.01.2024 Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği 1:2
    22.12.2022 Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:0
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    24.09.2025 Kayserispor - Beşiktaş 0:4
    20.09.2025 Antalyaspor - Kayserispor 1:1
    14.09.2025 Kayserispor - Göztepe 1:1
    30.08.2025 Kocaelispor - Kayserispor 1:1
    24.08.2025 Kayserispor - Galatasaray 0:4
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray871020:31722
    2Trabzonspor852113:6717
    3Goztepe844011:2916
    4Fenerbahce844012:5716
    5Gaziantep842212:12014
    6Besiktas741212:9313
    7Samsunspor834110:8213
    8Konyaspor732213:9411
    9Alanyaspor824210:9110
    10Antalyaspor83149:13-410
    11Kasimpasa82338:9-19
    12Rizespor72239:11-28
    13Basaksehir71336:7-16
    14Genclerbirligi81257:12-55
    15Kocaelispor81255:12-75
    16Eyupspor81254:11-75
    17Kayserispor80535:17-125
    18Karagumruk81077:18-113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig