Result
1:2
09/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 81% (276/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/415) | 81% (276/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (108/147) | 57% (48/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
- 45', Haidara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Keles C. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
- 46', Rivas R. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
- 55', Saglam G. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
- 55', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
- 62', Haidara M. ↓, Oguz A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Agyei D. ⚽, Oguz A. (A),
- 68', Chalov F. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 69', Cardoso M. 🟨,
- 72', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 2, Agyei D. ⚽, Churlinov D. (A),
- 77', Tokoz D. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
- 77', Benes L. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
- 81', Susoho M. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Sariarslan T. ⚽, Mane C. (A),
- 83', Guler S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Denswil S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor
28.7% | Draw
29.6% | Kocaelispor
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Kayserispor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.13) |
3.18 ↑
(3.12) |
2.27 ↑
(2.24) |
6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 9).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Bayazit B.
(Yellow Cards)
Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Civelek R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Linetty K.
(Yellow Cards)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kayserispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Kocaelispor?
Kayserispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Kayserispor?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
30.08.2025
Kocaelispor
-
Kayserispor
1:1
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34:38 | -4 | 39 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:49 | -11 | 34 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
