Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (220/305) | 85% (502/590) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (220/305) | 85% (502/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/80) | 73% (158/217) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kartik B. (Pen),
- 18', 2 - 0, Ubochioma M. ⚽, Eleke B. (A),
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Slogar M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nemeth H. ↓, Kovacs P. ↑,
- 46', Szeles I. A. ↓, Vitalyos V. ↑,
- 46', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 46', Kadar T. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
- 63', Molnar A. 🟨,
- 63', Sos B. 🟨,
- 66', Eleke B. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
- 74', Molnar A. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
- 82', Ubochioma M. ↓, Schuszter R. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Nemeth K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kazincbarcikai
43.9% | Draw
28% | MTK Budapest
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kazincbarcikai's performance.MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MTK Budapest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kazincbarcikai that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MTK Budapest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.9) |
5.85 ↑
(3.78) |
6.49 ↑
(2.11) |
-36.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest?
Users Predictions:
MTK Budapest will win
(38 of 39 users predict this - 97.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.48% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II. and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kazincbarcikai won 1.
- Kazincbarcikai is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MTK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- MTK might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kazincbarcikai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kazincbarcikai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kazincbarcikai won against MTK Budapest?
Kazincbarcikai has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Kazincbarcikai?
MTK Budapest has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest were as follows:
22.07.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Kazincbarcikai
4:0
14.05.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Kazincbarcikai
1:0
27.11.2022
Kazincbarcikai
-
MTK Budapest
3:3
Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 24:14 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 |
| 6 | Gyor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | DVTK | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
