MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcikai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.431.39
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
2615
Shots on target
74
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
104
Passes
86% (462/537)66% (187/284)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.431.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.81
Total shots
2615
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
106
Blocked shots
95
Shots inside the box
2113
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
5234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
79
Passes
86% (462/537)66% (187/284)
Long passes
57% (39/68)28% (15/53)
Passes in final third
77% (135/176)64% (67/104)
Crosses
29% (9/31)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.991.52
Throw ins
229
Fouls
97
Tackles
91% (10/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4548
Clearances
3132
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
1.811.09
Goals prevented
-1.190.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Racz L. , Kartik B. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Radkowski K. , Kartik B. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 2, Polievka R. , Vitalyos V. (A),
  • 45+4', Varju B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba E. , Konyves N. ,
  • 46', Horvath A. , Kata M. ,
  • 59', Atrok I. , Nemeth K. ,
  • 59', Kerezsi Z. , Jurek G. ,
  • 64', Kartik B. , Slogar M. ,
  • 71', Nemeth H. 🟨,
  • 72', Slogar M. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Major M. , Ferenczi J. (A),
  • 77', Molnar A. , Jurina M. ,
  • 78', Varju B. , Bevardi Z. ,
  • 85', Racz L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Major M. , Ferencsik B. ,
  • 90+2', Ubochioma M. , Smajlagic S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MTK Budapest
60.5%
Draw
21.6%
Kazincbarcikai
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 20.7% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.5)
    4.29
    (4.52)
    5.19
    (5.48)
    8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai?
  • Users Predictions: MTK Budapest will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3.
    • Kazincbarcikai has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, MTK is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MTK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest 3:1
    22.07.2023 MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai 4:0
    14.05.2023 MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai 1:0
    27.11.2022 Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest 3:3
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    24.01.2026 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 2:3
    13.12.2025 MTK Budapest - Ujpest 3:4
    06.12.2025 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 3:1
    29.11.2025 Győri ETO - MTK Budapest 3:0
    Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gyor28168454:282656
    2Ferencvaros27165652:282453
    3Zalaegerszegi28129743:321145
    4Debrecen28129741:34745
    5Paks28128854:391544
    6Puskas Academy271161034:33139
    7Kisvarda281161133:42-939
    8Ujpest28971237:46-934
    9Nyiregyhaza28881238:46-832
    10MTK Budapest28781347:58-1129
    11DVTK285101335:49-1425
    12Kazincbarcika28522127:60-3317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.