Result
4:3
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 25
- Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (259/334) | 74% (211/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (259/334) | 74% (211/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (44/82) | 65% (72/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 40% (12/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 3.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -3.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Habesoglu A. ⚽, Bilsel E. (A),
- 21', 2 - 0, Hotic D. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 1, Diouf M. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
- 37', 3 - 1, Habesoglu A. ⚽, Hotic D. (A),
- 41', Ezeh F. 🟨,
- 45+3', 3 - 2, Diouf M. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
- 65', Diaby O. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
- 66', Bilsel E. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 2, Hotic D. ⚽, Yilmaz M. (A),
- 71', Hotic D. 🟨,
- 73', Ayan H. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
- 80', Hotic D. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
- 80', Imeri O. ↓, Tarim I. ↑,
- 84', Bulut H. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 90', Aslan A. ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
- 90', Habesoglu A. ↓, Astanakulov S. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 3, Caliskan O. ⚽, Bilgic H. (A),
Chances of winning
Bodrumspor
45.1% | Draw
26.2% | Keçiörengücü
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodrumspor's performance.Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keçiörengücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.47) |
3.57 ↑
(3.38) |
3.2 ↑
(2.61) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Bodrumspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bodrumspor: Brazao P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akdag I.
(Yellow Cards)
Akdag I.
(Red Card)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
Roshi O.
(Yellow Cards)
Rroca E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Arkutcu E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Bulut H.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Bodrumspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Bodrumspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
20.09.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Bodrumspor
2:1
06.04.2024
Bodrumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:0
11.11.2023
Keçiörengücü
-
Bodrumspor
1:1
22.01.2023
Bodrumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:2
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
