Result
1:1
24/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Mehmet O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/437) | 82% (303/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/437) | 82% (303/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/92) | 61% (52/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽, Ovacikli O. (A),
- 27', Tozlu E. 🟨,
- 35', Osman H. ↓, Keskin B. ↑,
- 44', Keser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bilgic H. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
- 46', Ayan H. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
- 58', Karaogul I. 🟨,
- 69', Keser B. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 69', Akgun S. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 70', Fernandes J. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,
- 80', Karaogul I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 81', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
- 82', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 82', Tozlu E. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Rroca E. (Pen),
- 90+4', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 90+7', Yumlu M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
53.4% | Draw
25.9% | Keçiörengücü
20.7% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Erzurumspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Keçiörengücü have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.73) |
3.85 ↑
(3.56) |
4.99 ↑
(4.47) |
1.6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 3.
- Erzurumspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Keçiörengücü has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Erzurumspor has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Erzurumspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
10.03.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
1:3
27.10.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
4:0
10.03.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
21.10.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:1
08.03.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:1
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erokspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Corum | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Bodrumspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Pendikspor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Igdir FK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Amedspor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Boluspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Serik Spor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Sakaryaspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:20 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:31 | -27 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
