Result
04/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
53.8% | Draw
24.3% | Keçiörengücü
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
3.81 ↑
(3.74) |
4.24 ↑
(4.01) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4.
- Erzurumspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Keçiörengücü has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Erzurumspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Erzurumspor has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Erzurumspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
18.02.2026
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
1:2
24.09.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
10.03.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
1:3
27.10.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Keçiörengücü
4:0
10.03.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Gaziantep | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Rizespor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 8 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
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