Result
0:1
23/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/478) | 70% (199/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/478) | 70% (199/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (114/148) | 56% (53/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Lus S. 🟨,
- 16', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Ezeh F. ⚽, Rroca E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dogan F. ↓, Sequeira ↑,
- 46', Rogerio Thuram ↓, Yesil H. ↑,
- 66', Soldo V. 🟨,
- 68', Bilgic H. 🟨,
- 72', Ozdemir M. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
- 79', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 82', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
- 86', Kitsiou S. ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
- 87', Ayan H. 🟨,
- 88', Sequeira 🟨,
- 89', Diouf M. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 90+3', Satilmis E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pendikspor 49% | Draw 25.8% | Keçiörengücü 25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pendikspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.05) |
3.53 ↑ (3.48) |
3.61 ↑ (3.19) |
8.9% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 2.
- Recent performances by Pendikspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Keçiörengücü is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pendikspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B.
(Inactive)
Cicek E.
(Suspended)
Isen B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Fernandes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pendikspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pendikspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Pendikspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Pendikspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
29.09.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Pendikspor
0:0
01.03.2025
Pendikspor
-
Keçiörengücü
0:2
06.10.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Pendikspor
1:1
28.03.2023
Pendikspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:1
22.10.2022
Keçiörengücü
-
Pendikspor
0:3
Latest results of Pendikspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to