Keilor Thunder vs Geelong United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:80
18/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


Keilor Thunder
57.2%
Geelong United
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keilor Thunder that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Keilor Thunder - Geelong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.7)

    2.21
    (1.89)
    6.1%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 169.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Keilor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 468:475. (average 93.6:95).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 307:275. (average 102.3:91.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keilor Thunder - Geelong United were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Keilor Thunder - Geelong United 103:97
    15.07.2023 Geelong United - Keilor Thunder 116:85
    04.06.2023 Keilor Thunder - Geelong United 106:104
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Latest results of Geelong United
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Dandenong220193:1621.000
    2Kilsyth220170:1401.000
    3Knox220206:1801.000
    4Bendigo Braves220172:1481.000
    5Hobart Chargers220174:1691.000
    6Nunawading321284:2230.667
    7Frankston211187:1760.500
    8Keilor Thunder211181:1730.500
    9Ballarat211191:1860.500
    10Melbourne Tigers211171:1690.500
    11Sandringham Sabres211167:1660.500
    12Waverley211157:1590.500
    13Eltham211156:1590.500
    14Mt Gambier211175:1930.500
    15Diamond Valley202163:1880.000
    16Geelong202131:1570.000
    17Casey Cavaliers202173:2050.000
    18Ringwood303250:2920.000
    19Northern Tasmania202148:2040.000

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